The No. 1 Virginia Cavaliers (31-3) will be 8.5-point favorites in the Sweet Sixteen at KFC Yum! Center when they challenge the No. 12 Oregon Ducks (25-12). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 119 points and action starts at 9:57 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 28, 2019.
Oregon Ducks vs. Virginia Cavaliers ATS Odds
Both teams were triumphant in their last game. The Cavaliers defeated the No. 9 Oklahoma Sooners 63-51, while the Ducks dismantled the No. 13 UC Irvine Anteaters 73-54.
The Ducks had a turnover percentage of 10.1 (better than their season average of 15.7) and held the Anteaters to an effective field goal percentage of 0.441 (below their season average of 0.517). Meanwhile, Virginia dominated nearly every facet of their game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.8 (below their season average of 30.3) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.545 (below their season average of 0.558). Oklahoma recorded marks of 17.6 and 0.442, respectively, for those same stats. Mamadi Diakite had a good outing for Virginia, contributing 14 points and nine rebounds. Payton Pritchard was a key piece for Oregon with 18 points and seven assists.
Games featuring the Ducks have a tendency to finish under the O/U total (62.2 percent). Oregon comes into the game with records of 25-12 straight up (SU) and 22-15 against the spread (ATS).
Games involving the Cavaliers also have a slight tendency to go under the total (52.9 percent). Further, Virginia owns records of 31-3 SU and 24-10 ATS.
This battle pits one of the nation’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Virginia ranks fourth in offensive efficiency and Oregon ranks 24th in defensive efficiency. Also, the Ducks, who rank 254th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.213), could have a difficult time getting to the line against the Cavaliers, who rank 17th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.176).
Oregon vs. Virginia ATS Pick
Basketball Tip: SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – Oregon, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Oregon ranks 36th in steals per game (7.7) while Virginia ranks 193rd (5.8).
- The Cavaliers rank seventh in rebounds allowed per game (29.5) while the Ducks rank 63rd (32.8).
- Oregon ranks 45th in blocks per game (4.4) while Virginia ranks 88th (3.9).
- The Cavaliers rank 114th in three pointers allowed per game (21.5) while the Ducks rank 239th (24.0).
- Virginia ranks first in assists allowed per game (8.8) while Oregon ranks 62nd (11.6).
Bettings Trends:
- The Cavaliers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.4, down from 16.6 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Ducks have scored an average of 71.6 points per game (1.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 57.0 points per game (5.5 below their season average).
