Oklahoma Sooners at LSU Tigers: NCAA Football Free Betting Pick

Posts AdminArticles, College Football, Football

Head Coach Ed Orgeron and the No. 1 LSU Tigers (-14) are coming into the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl as heavy favorites against Coach Lincoln Riley and the No. 4 Oklahoma Sooners. This daytime matchup will get going at 4:00 p.m. ET and ESPN is scheduled to have the TV rights.

Betting Preview: LSU Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners

In this Saturday game, LSU has been labeled as the big favorite and is currently giving up 14 points. If they want to take the moneyline, gamblers would currently have to spend $600 in order to win $100 back on the Tigers (-600). The Sooners are getting +425 moneyline odds. There will probably be multiple good live betting possibilities for this game, and Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 76 points.

Early action has been swaying in favor of the Tigers. The line originally opened at -11 and the total was initially 75.5.

Each of these teams has been profitable this season as the Sooners have gained 6.0 units while the Tigers are up 7.8 units.

The perfect Sooners have gone 12-1 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Tigers are 13-0 SU.

The Sooners are coming off a 30-23 win over Baylor on December 7. Jalen Hurts completed 17-of-24 passes for 287 yards, along with a TD and an interception. Hurts (38 yards on 23 rush attempts) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Kennedy Brooks (59 yards on 17 carries, one TD). CeeDee Lamb (eight receptions, 173 yards) and Charleston Rambo (two catches, 23 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

LSU is coming off of a blowout 37-10 win over Georgia. The defense did its job in the victory, holding the Bulldogs to just 225 passing yards and 61 rushing yards. George Pickens had a productive showing in the defeat, recording 54 yards on four catches for Georgia. For LSU, Joe Burrow completed 28-of-38 passes for 349 yards and four touchdowns. Clyde Edwards-Helaire (57 yards on 15 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Burrow (41 yards on 11 carries) handled the running attack while Justin Jefferson (seven receptions, 115 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Oklahoma’s run the ball on 60.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while LSU has an overall rush percentage of 48.5 percent. The Sooners have run for 251.2 yards/game and have 34 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Tigers are totaling 167.5 rushing yards per game and have 29 total rush TDs.

The Sooners offensive scheme has averaged 303 yards in the air overall and has 36 passing scores so far. The Tigers have put up an astonishing 386.8 pass yards per outing and have 49 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Oklahoma should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 132.8 yards and pass for 198.5 yards per game. The LSU defense has allowed 221.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 119.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Tigers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.81 to opposing QBs, while the Sooners have allowed a 5.76 ANY/A.

Burrow has completed 319-of-407 passes for 4,363 yards, 45 TDs and six INTs. Burrow’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 11.19 for the season and 10.80 over his last two games. In the other locker room, Hurts has put up 3,471 passing yards on the year, and has completed 209-of-293 attempts with 31 passing touchdowns and only seven interceptions. Hurts has a pristine 11.74 ANY/A for the year, although that number is 8.91 over the last two games.

Oklahoma Sooners at LSU Tigers Free Prediction

SU Winner: LSU, ATS Winner: LSU, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The Oklahoma defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 35 times this season. LSU has produced 33 sacks.
  • The LSU offense has lost five fumbles this season while Oklahoma has let 10 get away.
  • The Sooners offense has recorded 17 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Tigers have put up 19 such plays.
  • The Oklahoma defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while LSU has given up six such plays.
  • The Oklahoma offense has created 35 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while LSU has created 20 such runs.
  • The Sooners defense has allowed 20 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Tigers have given up 13 such runs.
  • Oklahoma, as a team, has produced 5.0 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.6 over its last two.
  • LSU has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.5 over its last two.