Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs ATS Prediction 03/02/19

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A five-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the San Antonio Spurs (34-29) when they clash against the Oklahoma City Thunder (38-23) at AT&T Center. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 2, 2019, and will air on Fox SportsNet Oklahoma.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds

The Spurs will look to maintain momentum after comfortably covering the 4.5-point spread against the Detroit Pistons in their last matchup, 105-93. The Thunder, on the other hand, were defeated by the Philadelphia 76ers, 108-104, resulting in a push. The San Antonio game finished 22 points under the projected point total of 220, while the Oklahoma City game finished 27.5 points under the projected point total of 239.5.

San Antonio played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.148 (matching their season average) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.574 (above their season average of 0.533). Detroit recorded marks of 0.060 and 0.435, respectively, for those same stats. Oklahoma City, on the other hand, did a great job of getting and making free throws (20-28; 71.4 percent). San Antonio’s DeMar DeRozan had a good outing, contributing 17 points, 13 rebounds and eight assists. Russell Westbrook led the way for Oklahoma City with 23 points, 11 rebounds and 11 assists to record his 24th triple-double this year.

The Thunder won the most recent matchup by 10 points to even the season series at one. LaMarcus Aldridge had a stellar game with 17 points and nine rebounds. The Thunder’s 6.2 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Spurs, who had a rate of 11.8. Oklahoma City covered as a 6-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 234 points, which was over the projected point total of 227.

Thunder games have gone over the O/U total 49.2 percent of the time. Oklahoma City heads into the contest with records of 38-23 straight up (SU) and 33-28 against the spread (ATS).

Spurs games have a tendency to finish over the total (60.3 percent). Further, San Antonio is 34-29 SU and 33-29-1 ATS.

Ball security could play a significant role in this showdown. San Antonio commits the second-fewest miscues in the NBA (turnover percentage of 12.0 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Oklahoma City forces the most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.7 percent). It will also be a tale of two styles as the fast-breaking Thunder rank second in possessions per game, while the more methodical Spurs rank 25th.

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs Free Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Spurs rank fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while the Thunder rank 18th (5.2).
  • Oklahoma City ranks first in steals per game (10.1) while San Antonio ranks 29th (6.1).
  • The Thunder rank fifth in points in the paint per game (53.0) while the Spurs rank 27th (43.3).
  • Oklahoma City ranks fourth in fast break points per game (18.8) while San Antonio ranks 25th (10.5).
  • Oklahoma City ranks 15th in three pointers attempted per game (31.4) while San Antonio ranks last (24.9).
  • The Thunder rank first in points off turnovers per game (20.7) while the Spurs rank 29th (14.2).
  • The Thunder rank second in rebounds per game (48.0) while the Spurs rank 22nd (44.4).
  • San Antonio averages 24.5 assists per game, which ranks 16th in the league. Oklahoma City ranks 22nd in assists allowed per game (25.3).
  • Oklahoma City ranks third in second chance points per game (14.8) while San Antonio ranks 27th (11.7).
  • In games where they allow below 100 points, San Antonio is 12-3 and Oklahoma City is 7-0.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Spurs are 33-18 and the Thunder are 36-17.
  • San Antonio is 19-11 ATS at home, while Oklahoma City is 17-14 ATS on the road.
  • The Thunder have 18 unders and 13 overs in 31 road games.
  • Of the Spurs’ 30 home games, they have 15 overs and 15 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Spurs are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Thunder are 0-5.
  • In their last five games, San Antonio has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Oklahoma City has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Spurs have been outscored by an average of 3.6 points in their last five games. On the season, San Antonio has defeated opponents by an average of 0.6 points.
  • During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 120.4 points per game (4.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 125.2 points per game (14.1 above their season average).