Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Prediction 12/19/18

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The Sacramento Kings (16-14) will be 4-point underdogs at home in the Golden 1 Center when they square off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (19-10). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 236.5 points and it will air on NBATV at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 19, 2018.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Sacramento Kings ATS Odds

The Thunder will be hoping for similar success after comfortably covering the 12.5-point spread against the Chicago Bulls in their last game, 121-96. The Kings, meanwhile, were blown out by the Minnesota Timberwolves, 132-105, and were not able to cover as 8-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Oklahoma City game went 4.5 points over the projected point total of 212.5, while the Sacramento game went 6 points over the projected point total of 231.

Oklahoma City dominated every stat category in the game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.303 (above their season average of 0.189) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 37.8 (above their season average of 27.3). For those same stats, Chicago was 0.141 and 28.9, respectively. Sacramento, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.500 vs. 0.546). Buddy Hield had a solid performance for Sacramento with 21 points. Oklahoma City received a boost from Russell Westbrook, who finished with 13 points, 16 rebounds and 11 assists. This gave him his sixth triple-double this season.

The Kings have won both contests against the Thunder this year. The two teams combined for 230 points in their most recent game, which was just over the projected point total of 227.5. Sacramento won 117-113, covering as a 5-point underdog. The Kings’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Thunder. Sacramento had a rate of 25.9, while Oklahoma City posted a mark of 22.4. In the loss, Westbrook had a double-double with 29 points and 13 rebounds.

Vegas tends to set the total high when the Thunder are involved, as 55.2 percent of their games have gone under the total. Oklahoma City heads into the game with records of 19-10 straight up (SU) and 16-13 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Oklahoma City, games featuring the Kings have a tendency to go over the total (66.7 percent). Additionally, Sacramento is 16-14 SU and 19-11 ATS.

This showdown pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defensesSacramento currently ranks fourth in effective field goal percentage (0.541), while Oklahoma City is fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.506). Also, the Thunder rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (27.6 percent), while the Kings rank 27th in defensive rebounding percentage (74.9 percent).

Thunder at Kings Free Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Thunder rank 12 in assists allowed per game (23.586206896551722) while the Kings rank 25 (25.266666666666666).
  • Oklahoma City averages 48.1 rebounds per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 27th in rebounds allowed per game (47.9).
  • The Thunder rank second in second chance points per game (15.4) while the Kings rank 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (14.8).
  • Oklahoma City averages 16.3 fast-break points per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 24th in fast-break points given up per game (15.0).
  • Oklahoma City averages 21.517241379310345 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 1 in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 15 in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.866666666666667).
  • The Thunder average 52.7 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Kings rank 29th in points allowed in the paint per game (52.9).
  • The Thunder average 10.586206896551724 steals per game, which ranks 1 in the NBA. The Kings rank 18 in steals allowed per game (7.966666666666667).
  • Oklahoma City ranks 11 in blocks per game (5.517241379310345) while Sacramento ranks 16 in blocks allowed per game (5.066666666666666).
  • Oklahoma City ranks sixth in three pointers allowed per game (29.1) while Sacramento ranks 27th (34.1).
  • Oklahoma City is 6-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Sacramento is 4-0.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Thunder are 17-5 and the Kings are 15-12.
  • Oklahoma City is 7-7 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 9-4 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 10 of the Thunder’s 14 road games, while 7 of the Kings’ 13 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Kings are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Thunder are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Sacramento has 4 overs and 1 under, while Oklahoma City has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 119.8 points per game (4.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.8 points per game (2.4 above their season average).
  • The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.0, down from 6.4 for the season.