Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trail Blazers Free Prediction 11/27/19

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (6-10), 3-point underdogs, will be at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to go head-to-head with the Portland Trail Blazers (6-12) in a Northwest Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 220 points and it can be seen on Fox SportsNet Oklahoma at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 27, 2019.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Odds

The last time the Trail Blazers took the court, they easily covered the 1-point spread against the Chicago Bulls, 117-94. The Thunder, on the other hand, defeated the Golden State Warriors, 100-97, but were not able to cover as 7.5-point favorites. The Portland game went 15 points under the projected point total of 226, while the Oklahoma City game went 15.5 points under the projected point total of 212.5.

The Thunder, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.522, had a mark of 0.535 and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.0 (above their season average of 18.5). Portland, on the other hand, played a flawless game. They had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 31.0 (above their season average of 21.4) and a free throw rate of 0.191 (above their season average of 0.189). For those same stats, Chicago recorded marks of 16.0 and 0.151, respectively. Carmelo Anthony had a solid performance for Portland, putting up 25 points and eight rebounds. Steven Adams was a key piece for Oklahoma City with 10 points, 10 rebounds and five assists.

In their first matchup this year, Damian Lillard led the Trail Blazers to a 102-99 win. He recorded a double-double with 23 points and 13 assists. Portland covered as a 1.5-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 201 points, which was well under the projected point total of 222. Portland made 17 of their 35 three pointers (48.6 percent). Oklahoma City was, on the other hand, just 4-27 (14.8 percent).

Vegas has a tendency to place the total high when the Thunder are playing, as 56.3 percent of their contests have ended under the total. Oklahoma City is 10-6 against the spread (ATS), despite being 6-10 straight up (SU).

Of the Trail Blazers’ 18 games, nine have finished over the total. Additionally, Portland owns records of 6-12 SU and 8-9-1 ATS.

The Thunder’s Chris Paul has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 16 points,6.8 assists,2.4 steals per game. Meanwhile, CJ McCollum has averaged 27 points,6.0 assists,5.4 rebounds,1.4 blocks,1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Trail Blazers.

It will be a battle of conflicting styles as the up-and-down Trail Blazers will look to push the slower-paced Thunder. The Trail Blazers currently rank ninth in possessions per game while the Thunder are 26th. Additionally, the Thunder rank fifth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.229), while the Trail Blazers rank 28th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.244).

Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers Free Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Thunder rank 23rd in assists per game (22.0) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (19.8).
  • Oklahoma City ranks 12th in steals per game (8.0) while Portland ranks 29th (6.1).
  • The Thunder rank third in three pointers allowed per game (29.6) while the Trail Blazers rank 15th (33.6).
  • Portland ranks fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.7) while Oklahoma City ranks 16th (17.4).
  • Oklahoma City ranks 19th in rebounds allowed per game (46.0) while Portland ranks last (49.2).
  • The Trail Blazers rank 13th in fast break points per game (13.4) while the Thunder rank 29th (9.7).
  • The Trail Blazers rank 16th in second chance points per game (12.6) while the Thunder rank 27th (9.4).
  • Oklahoma City ranks 23rd in points in the paint per game (44.0) while Portland ranks 27th (42.4).
  • Portland ranks fifth in blocks per game (6.0) while Oklahoma City ranks 18th (4.8).
  • Portland is 2-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Oklahoma City is 3-2.
  • The Trail Blazers are 6-11 when they score over 100 points, while the Thunder are 6-5.
  • Portland is 1-4 ATS at home, while Oklahoma City is 4-3 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 4 of the Thunder’s 7 road games, while 3 of the Trail Blazers’ 5 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Thunder are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Portland has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Thunder have outscored opponents by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Oklahoma City has lost by an average of 0.4 points.
  • During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 112.4 points per game (0.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 117.6 points per game (2.5 above their season average).