The Golden State Warriors (12-6) and their great offense will be 1-point favorites when they welcome the Oklahoma City Thunder (10-6) and their superb defense. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 222.5 points and it will air on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 21, 2018.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds
Both teams were beaten in their last game. The Warriors (3-point underdogs) were defeated by the San Antonio Spurs, 104-92, while the Thunder (5-point favorites) fell to the Sacramento Kings, 117-113. The Golden State game went 16 points under the projected point total of 212, while the Oklahoma City game finished 2.5 points over the projected point total of 227.5.
Oklahoma City had a better turnover percentage (10.2 vs. 12.1) while Golden State did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (17-21; 81.0 percent). Golden State rallied around Kevin Durant, who had 26 points, 10 rebounds and six assists. Meanwhile, Russell Westbrook was a key piece for Oklahoma City with 29 points, 13 rebounds and seven assists.
In their first matchup this season, Stephen Curry led the Warriors to a 108-100 victory. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 32 points. The two teams combined to score 208 points, which was under the projected point total of 220.5, and Golden State was unable to cover as a 12-point favorite. Golden State had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (37.0 vs. 28.1). Oklahoma City, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.264 vs. 0.179).
Thunder games have no tendency in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Oklahoma City heads into the contest with records of 10-6 straight up (SU) and 10-6 against the spread (ATS).
Warriors games also have no tendency in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Golden State has a respectable 12-6 SU record, but they are just 8-10 ATS.
Paul George has been solid recently for Oklahoma City, averaging 28 points,10.0 rebounds,5.0 assists,2.6 steals over the last five games.
This showdown pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Golden State currently ranks first in offensive efficiency and Oklahoma City ranks fourth in defensive efficiency.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors rank 2 in blocks allowed per game (3.7222222222222223) while the Thunder rank 6 (4.6875).
- Golden State ranks first in assists per game (28.4) while Oklahoma City ranks 26th (21.3).
- The Thunder rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (29.6) while the Warriors rank 27th (35.0).
- Oklahoma City ranks first in points off turnovers per game (22.1) while Golden State ranks 20th (15.9).
- Golden State averages 17.38888888888889 fast break points per game, which ranks 4 in the league. Oklahoma City ranks 19 in fast break points allowed per game (14.6875).
- The Thunder rank first in second chance points per game (17.3) while the Warriors rank 25th (12.0).
- The Thunder rank 8 in points in the paint per game (51.25) while the Warriors rank 25 (41.666666666666664).
- Golden State ranks 4 in rebounds allowed per game (41.888888888888886) while Oklahoma City ranks 8 (43.5).
- Oklahoma City averages 11.1 steals per game, which ranks first in the league. Golden State ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.1).
- When allowing less than 100 points, Oklahoma City is 2-0 and Golden State is 1-0.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Thunder are 8-3 and the Warriors are 12-3.
- Oklahoma City is 5-3 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 6-3 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 6 of the Thunder’s 8 road games, while 6 of the Warriors’ 9 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Thunder are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 0-5.
- In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Golden State has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 113.0 points per game (1.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (0.1 above their season average).
- The Warriors have been outscored by an average of 6.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Golden State has defeated opponents by an average of 6.1 points.
