The Golden State Warriors (3-14) welcome the Oklahoma City Thunder (5-10) to Chase Center. The Thunder will try to put an end to a six-game road losing streak. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 25, 2019, and will air on NBATV.
Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors Betting Odds
Despite losing, both teams were able to cover in their last matchup. The Warriors (16-point underdogs) were defeated by the Utah Jazz, 113-109, while the Thunder (4.5-point underdogs) fell to the Los Angeles Lakers, 130-127. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Golden State game went 13.5 points over the projected point total of 208.5, while the Oklahoma City game finished 48 points over the projected point total of 209.
Oklahoma City had a better turnover percentage (9.8 vs. 13.0) while Golden State forced Utah into a turnover percentage of 15.6 (above the 12.4 mark opponents have averaged against Golden State this season). Ky Bowman played well for Golden State with 17 points, six rebounds and five assists. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, meanwhile had a good outing for Oklahoma City, finishing with 24 points and seven rebounds.
In their two matchups this year, the Thunder have won both. The two teams combined to score 222 points in their most recent game, which was over the projected point total of 216. Oklahoma City won 114-108 but was unable to cover as a 13-point favorite. Oklahoma City had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (20.0 vs. 14.6). Golden State, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (14.0 vs. 17.2). D’Angelo Russell was the game’s top overall scorer with 30 points.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Thunder games, with 8 unders compared to 7 overs. Although Oklahoma City struggles winning games straight up (5-10 SU), they have a superb 10-5 record against the spread (ATS).
Vegas is known to place the total low when the Warriors are involved, as 10 of their 15 games have gone over the O/U total. Moreover, Golden State is 3-14 SU and 7-10 ATS.
Thunder vs. Warriors ATS Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Oklahoma City ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (30.3) while Golden State ranks 22nd (34.8).
- The Warriors rank 19th in second chance points per game (12.5) while the Thunder rank last (9.5).
- Oklahoma City ranks 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.7) while Golden State ranks 26th (51.3).
- Golden State ranks 23rd in rebounds per game (43.6) while Oklahoma City ranks 25th (42.7).
- The Warriors rank 10th in fast break points per game (14.1) while the Thunder rank 29th (9.4).
- The Warriors rank eighth in points off turnovers per game (18.8) while the Thunder rank 15th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
- Oklahoma City ranks eighth in assists allowed per game (22.9) while Golden State ranks 27th (26.8).
- When allowing under 100 points, Oklahoma City is 2-2 and Golden State is 1-1.
- When reaching 100 points, the Warriors are 3-10 and the Thunder are 5-5.
- Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 2-5 ATS at home.
- Of the Thunder’s 6 road games, they have 3 overs and 3 unders.
- The Warriors have 4 overs and 3 unders in 7 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Thunder are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Golden State has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Thunder’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.6, up from 0.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 103.4 points per game (4.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.6 points per game (6.0 below their season average).
