The Oklahoma City Thunder (8-10) will try to end a five-game road losing streak when they clash against the Dallas Mavericks (4-15) at American Airlines Center. The games Over/Under (O/U) opened at 200 points with Oklahoma City set as a 5.5-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 25, 2017, and it can be seen on Fox SportsNet Oklahoma.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Preview
In the Thunder’s last outing, they lost a close one to the Detroit Pistons, 99-98. Despite the loss, Oklahoma City’s Russell Westbrook notched his fifth triple-double this season. He dominated, racking up 27 points, 11 rebounds and 11 assists. Detroit did a fantastic job of converting from the charity stripe (7-9; 77.8 percent). Oklahoma City, on the other hand, forced the Pistons into a turnover percentage of 18.5 (above their season average of 12.8).
The Mavericks will look to keep it rolling after just getting past the Memphis Grizzlies in their last contest, 95-94. With 22 points on 9-for-19 shooting, Harrison Barnes was the games high scorer. Dallas’ turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Memphis. The Mavericks had a rate of 7.5 (better than their season average of 13.2), while the Grizzlies posted a mark of 16.3 (above their season average of 12.3).
The inefficient offense of Dallas (28th in the league with an offensive efficiency of 99.2) will face off against the top-notch defense of Oklahoma City (third in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 99.4). The Thunder figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball.
Of Oklahoma City’s 17 games that accepted bets, 11 have finished under the O/U total, while 10 of Dallas 19 games have finished under the O/U total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Thunder have a sizable advantage. They are 8-10 SU and 7-9-1 ATS, while the Mavericks are 4-15 SU and 6-13 ATS.
These teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to put up 211 points, which was over the projected point total of 203.5. The Thunder won 112-99, covering as 10-point favorites. The Thunder played a nearly flawless game. They had a ridiculous free throw rate of 0.347 and an absurd effective field goal percentage of 0.604. The Mavericks recorded marks of 0.161 and 0.489, respectively, for those same stats. Paul George scored a game-high 37 points.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Thunder rank 11th in blocks per game (5.1) while the Mavericks rank 26th (3.5).
- Oklahoma City ranks 25th in points in the paint per game (40.1) while Dallas ranks 29th (36.0).
- Oklahoma City ranks 10th in rebounds allowed per game (43.1) while Dallas ranks 25th (46.7).
- Dallas is 3-8 ATS at home, while Oklahoma City is 2-7 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 6 of the Thunder’s 9 road games, while 5 of the Mavericks 11 home games have gone over.
- In games where they allow under 100 points, Dallas is 4-4 and Oklahoma City is 7-3.
- The Thunder are 7-4 when they score more than 100 points, while the Mavericks are 3-5.
- The Thunder rank 10th in three pointers attempted per game (30.9) while the Mavericks rank 22nd in three pointers allowed per game (30.4).
- Oklahoma City ranks first in steals per game (10.8) while Dallas ranks 25th (6.9).
- The Thunder rank first in points off turnovers per game (21.7) while the Mavericks rank 25th (14.4).
- Oklahoma City ranks sixth in fast break points per game (14.0) while Dallas ranks 26th (8.1).
Bettings Trends:
- Dallas is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in their last five games.
- Over their last five games, Oklahoma City is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Mavericks average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 6.3 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 101.2 points per game (2.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 97.4 points per game (0.8 below their season average).
