The San Antonio Spurs (4-3) and their great offense will be 4.5-point favorites when they welcome the Oklahoma City Thunder (3-4) and their exceptional defense. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 215 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 8:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 7, 2019.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds
In the Thunder’s last outing, they covered the 2.5-point spread against the Orlando Magic, 102-94. The Spurs, on the other hand, were beaten by the Atlanta Hawks, 108-100, and were unable to cover as 6-point underdogs. The Oklahoma City game went 5.5 points under the projected point total of 201.5, while the San Antonio game finished 15 points under the projected point total of 223.
The Thunder had a superb turnover percentage of 8.7 (better than their season average of 14.3) and held the Magic to an effective field goal percentage of 0.409 (below the 0.459 mark opponents have averaged against Oklahoma City this season). San Antonio, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.176 vs. 0.122). DeMar DeRozan played well for San Antonio, putting up 22 points. Chris Paul, meanwhile fueled Oklahoma City with 20 points and six assists.
The Spurs captured this series last year, winning two out of three games. In the most recent game, San Antonio won 116-102. The Spurs’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Thunder. San Antonio had a rate of 9.7, while Oklahoma City posted a mark of 11.7.
Of the Thunder’s seven games, six have gone under the total. Oklahoma City heads into the contest with records of 3-4 straight up (SU) and 5-2 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Spurs’ seven games, three have finished over the total. Additionally, San Antonio owns records of 4-3 SU and 1-6 ATS.
This showdown pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Dating back to the 2018-19 season, San Antonio ranks fifth in offensive efficiency and Oklahoma City ranks fifth in defensive efficiency. It will also be a showdown of contrasting styles as the aggressively-paced Thunder rank fourth in possessions per game, while the more methodical Spurs rank 26th.
Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2018-Present):
- The Thunder rank third in rebounds per game (47.8) while the Spurs rank 17th (45.1).
- Oklahoma City ranks first in steals per game (9.1) while San Antonio ranks last (6.0).
- The Thunder rank seventh in points in the paint per game (50.8) while the Spurs rank 27th (43.7).
- Oklahoma City ranks sixth in fast break points per game (17.4) while San Antonio ranks 25th (10.9).
- San Antonio ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while Oklahoma City ranks 19th (5.1).
- The Thunder rank third in points off turnovers per game (18.8) while the Spurs rank last (13.8).
- The Thunder rank 14th in three pointers attempted per game (32.4) while the Spurs rank last (24.9).
- Oklahoma City ranks second in second chance points per game (15.2) while San Antonio ranks 28th (11.6).
- Oklahoma City is 13-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while San Antonio is 17-4.
- The Spurs are 54-25 when they reach the century mark, while the Thunder are 49-28.
