Oklahoma City Thunder at Orlando Magic Free Prediction 01/22/20

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The league’s top scoring defense will be a 1-point favorite at home in Amway Center, when the Orlando Magic (21-23) go head-to-head with the Oklahoma City Thunder (25-19). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 209 points and it will air on Fox SportsNet Oklahoma at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 22, 2020.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Orlando Magic Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Magic (3.5-point favorites) defeated the Charlotte Hornets 106-83, while the Thunder (7.5-point underdog) beat the Houston Rockets 112-107. The Orlando game went 16 points under the projected point total of 205, while the Oklahoma City game went 11.5 points under the projected point total of 230.5.

The Thunder knocked down 20 of their 26 free throws (76.9 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.500 vs. 0.490). Orlando, on the other hand, played a nearly perfect game. They had a solid turnover percentage of 8.6 (better than their season average of 11.1) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 21.8). Charlotte put up marks of 17.5 and 22.0, respectively, for those same stats. Orlando was lifted by Nikola Vucevic, who put up 24 points and 10 rebounds. Chris Paul had a solid performance for Oklahoma City, recording 28 points and eight rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Paul led the Thunder to a 102-94 victory. He recorded 20 points and six assists. The two teams combined to put up 196 points, which was under the projected point total of 201.5, and Oklahoma City covered as a 3-point favorite. The Thunder’s turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Magic. Oklahoma City had a rate of 8.7, while Orlando posted a mark of 12.8.

Games involving the Thunder have a slight tendency to go under the projected point total (54.5 percent). Oklahoma City comes into the contest with records of 25-19 straight up (SU) and 28-15-1 against the spread (ATS).

Games including the Magic have typically finished under the O/U total (56.8 percent). Additionally, Orlando is 21-23 SU and 21-19-4 ATS.

The Thunder’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 21 points,9.8 rebounds,5.8 assists per game. Meanwhile, Markelle Fultz has averaged 17 points,6.2 rebounds,5.4 assists during that same time frame for the Magic.

Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams battle. Orlando currently ranks 29th in possessions per game (99.8) and Oklahoma City is 23rd (100.9). Also, the Thunder, who rank third in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.228), will go head-to-head against the Magic, who rank third in opponents’ FTA rate (0.163).

Oklahoma City Thunder at Orlando Magic Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Thunder rank fourth in assists allowed per game (22.5) while the Magic rank 11th (23.5).
  • Orlando ranks fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.9) while Oklahoma City ranks 23rd (49.9).
  • The Thunder rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (32.0) while the Magic rank 16th (33.4).
  • Orlando ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.1) while Oklahoma City ranks ninth (16.0).
  • Orlando ranks 22nd in fast break points per game (11.8) while Oklahoma City ranks last (9.5).
  • The Magic rank third in steals per game (8.6) while the Thunder rank 20th (7.4).
  • The Magic rank 22nd in second chance points per game (12.6) while the Thunder rank last (10.8).
  • Orlando ranks fifth in blocks per game (6.0) while Oklahoma City ranks 16th (4.8).
  • Oklahoma City is 7-3 when they allow under 100 points, while Orlando is 12-4.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Magic are 17-9 and the Thunder are 24-12.
  • Oklahoma City is 16-5 ATS on the road, while Orlando is 9-10-2 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 14 of the Magic’s 21 home games, while 13 of the Thunder’s 21 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Oklahoma City and Orlando are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The Thunder have 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games, while the Magic have 3 unders and 2 overs
  • During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 115.4 points per game (5.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.4 points per game (4.4 above their season average).
  • The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.0, up from 0.2 for the season.