Oakland Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts – Week 4 Betting Free Pick

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The Oakland Raiders (+7) are set to pay a visit to the Indianapolis Colts (-7) at Lucas Oil Stadium. This early afternoon matchup is scheduled to get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS has the TV rights.

Betting Preview: Oakland Raiders at Indianapolis Colts

In this Sunday AFC matchup, Indianapolis is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 7 points. The Raiders are also receiving +220 moneyline odds while the Colts are -260. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 44.5 points. There might be multiple good live betting possibilities in this game.

The game’s total has swung upward after opening at 44. The original line of -7 hasn’t changed.

The Raiders are 1-2 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 0.7 units so far in 2019. The team’s posted an O/U mark of 1-2.

The Colts have gained 1.3 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-1.

The Raiders are 1-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Colts are 2-1 SU.

Oakland enters this matchup on a two-game winning streak while Indianapolis has come up short in its last two in a row. The Raiders are most-recently on the rebound after a 34-14 defeat to Minnesota last week. Derek Carr completed 27 passes on 34 attempts for 242 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Josh Jacobs (44 yards on 10 rush attempts) led the running attack while Darren Waller (13 receptions, 134 yards) and J.J. Nelson (four catches, 36 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Indianapolis just earned a 27-24 win over Atlanta a week ago. Jacoby Brissett completed 28-of-37 passes for 310 yards and two touchdowns. Marlon Mack (74 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the running attack while T.Y. Hilton (eight receptions, 65 yards, one TD) and Jack Doyle (four catches, 46 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Oakland’s run the ball on 40.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Indianapolis has a rush percentage of 49.7 percent. The Raiders have produced 105 rush yards per game and have two scores on the ground this year. The Colts are putting up 149.7 rush yards per game and have two total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Colts ought to be the more disruptive team in the trenches. Their offensive line has allowed only six sacks while their D-line has registered eight sacks. The Raiders O-line has allowed seven sacks and their defense has got to opposing QBs on just five occasions.

The Raiders offensive scheme has averaged 233 yards in the air overall and has four passing TDs so far. The Colts have recorded 215.3 pass yards per contest and have seven total pass scores.

Defensively, Oakland has allowed opponents to run for an average of 112.3 yards and throw for 295 yards per game. The Indianapolis defense has allowed 263.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 114.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Colts are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.53 to opponents, while the Raiders have given up a staggering 9.69 ANY/A.

Offensively, Carr is up to 501 passing yards this season, and has completed 82 percent of his 60 attempts with three passing scores and one interception. Carr has a 7.63 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.01 over the last two games.

Jacoby Brissett has connected on 49-of-64 passes for 500 yards, four TDs and zero INTs for Indianapolis. His ANY/A sits at 8.25 for the year and 6.90 over his last two outings.

These two teams met last year with the final outcome being a 42-28 victory for Indianapolis.

Oakland Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts Betting Prediction

SU Winner: Colts, ATS Winner: Raiders, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • The Indianapolis offense has lost one fumble this season while Oakland has not lost any.
  • The Indianapolis defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks eight times this season. Oakland has produced five sacks.
  • As a team, Oakland has averaged 5.6 yards per carry over its last two outings.
  • Indianapolis has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last two.
  • In its last three games, Indianapolis is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Oakland’s previous game going into it was 43.5. The over cashed in the team’s 34-14 defeat to Minnesota.
  • In its last three contests, Oakland is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Indianapolis’ last matchup was 48. The over cashed in the 27-24 victory over Atlanta.