The No. 14 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-4) are coming into the Camping World Bowl as favorites as they prepare to take on the Iowa State Cyclones. Kickoff for this importantmatchup is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET and ABC has the TV rights.
Betting Preview: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Iowa State Cyclones
Iowa State is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 4 points. The Fighting Irish are also receiving -175 moneyline odds while the Cyclones are +155. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 54.5 points, and if one school can create a bunch of points in the early stages, it will probably create a decent betting scenario in-game.
The game’s total has shifted down after opening at 56.5. The original spread (-4) has remained firm.
The profitable Fighting Irish have gained 5.0 units so far and are 8-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 5-7.
The Cyclones have lost 4.8 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 6-6 ATS and have an even O/U record of 6-6.
The Fighting Irish have gone 10-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Cyclones are 7-5 SU.
The Fighting Irish are coming off a resounding 45-24 victory over Stanford on November 30. The Irish defense allowed the Cardinal to run for 118 yards on 28 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Offensively, Ian Book completed just 17-of-30 passes for 255 yards and four touchdowns. Tony Jones Jr. (50 rushing yards on 14 attempts) mounted the ground attack. Cole Kmet (five receptions, 77 yards) and Chase Claypool (three catches, 63 yards, two TDs) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Iowa State just dropped a 27-17 game to Kansas State. Brock Purdy completed 15-of-30 passes for 185 yards and one touchdown. Breece Hall (59 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) led the running game while Tarique Milton (four receptions, 78 yards) and La’Michael Pettway (three catches, 22 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Notre Dame has run the ball on 52.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Iowa State has an overall rush percentage of 46 percent. The Fighting Irish have rushed for 176.6 yards/game and have 18 scores on the ground this year. The Cyclones are averaging 140.3 rushing yards per game and have 22 total rush TDs.
The Irish offense has averaged 252.6 yards through the air overall and has 36 passing TDs so far. The Cyclones have produced 318.3 pass yards per contest and have 29 total pass scores.
Defensively, Notre Dame appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 160.6 yards and throw for 163.7 yards per game. The Iowa State D has allowed 228.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 133.8 yards per game on the ground. The Irish are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.37 to opposing QBs, while the Cyclones have given up a 6.21 ANY/A.
Purdy has managed to complete 266-of-403 passes for 3,388 yards, 23 TDs and eight INTs for Iowa State. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 8.17 for the season and 8.29 over his last two games. In the other huddle, Book is up to 2,548 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 194-of-331 attempts with 30 passing touchdowns and only six interceptions. Book’s got a pristine 8.21 ANY/A, including 8.63 over the last two outings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Iowa State Cyclones Betting Pick
SU Winner: Notre Dame, ATS Winner: Notre Dame, O/U: Over
Betting Notes
- The Notre Dame D has 30 sacks on the year while Iowa State has 27.
- Both offenses have lost five fumbles this year.
- The Fighting Irish offense has recorded nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cyclones have put up 11 such plays.
- The Notre Dame defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Iowa State has given up seven such plays.
- The Notre Dame offense has created 19 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Iowa State has created 13 such runs.
- The Fighting Irish defense has allowed 16 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cyclones have given up 12 such runs.
- Notre Dame has won nine of its last 10 games SU, with an October 26th defeat to Michigan representing the only loss over that span.
- As a team, Notre Dame has averaged 4.9 yards per rush attempt across its past three games and 5.5 over its last two.
- Iowa State has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last three outings and 2.8 over its past two.
