The South Dakota Coyotes (26-8) will be 13-point favorites in the College Basketball Invitational at Sanford Coyote Sports Center when they meet the North Texas Mean Green (15-17). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 150 points and action starts at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 14, 2018.
North Texas Mean Green vs. South Dakota Coyotes ATS Odds
Both teams lost in their last contest. The Coyotes fell to the South Dakota State Jackrabbits, 97-87, while the Mean Green were defeated by the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, 68-62.
North Texas held Louisiana Tech to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.9 (below their season average of 27.9) while South Dakota held South Dakota State to an offensive rebounding percentage of 18.9 (below their season average of 25.2). Matt Mooney had a good outing for South Dakota, recording 30 points and seven rebounds. North Texas received a boost from Ryan Woolridge, who put up 20 points, six assists and five rebounds.
The productive offense of South Dakota will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of North Texas. The Coyotes rank 28th in offensive efficiency, while the Mean Green are 148th in defensive efficiency. The Coyotes should have the advantage on that end of the court. Additionally, the Mean Green, who rank 271st in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.214), could have a difficult time getting to the line against the Coyotes, who rank 51st in opponents’ FTA rate (0.199).
Mean Green games tend to go under the total (61.5 percent). North Texas heads into the game with records of 15-17 straight up (SU) and 15-11 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Coyotes’ 28 games that accepted bets, 15 have finished over the projected point total. Moreover, South Dakota is 26-8 SU and 18-9-1 ATS.
Matt Mooney has really been playing well as of late for South Dakota, averaging 24.0 points and 1.2 steals over the last five games.
North Texas Mean Green at South Dakota Coyotes ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – South Dakota, ATS Winner – North Texas, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- South Dakota ranks 69th in steals per game (6.9) while North Texas ranks 230th (4.9).
- The Mean Green rank 190th in blocks per game (2.7) while the Coyotes rank 236th (1.9).
- North Texas allows the 27th-fewest assists per game (11.1) while South Dakota ranks 36th (11.3).
- The Mean Green rank 46th in three pointers allowed per game (19.6) while the Coyotes rank 182nd (22.4).
- South Dakota averages 37.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 72nd in the NCAA. North Texas ranks 120th in rebounds allowed per game (34.0).
Bettings Trends:
- The Coyotes’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.6, down from 13.0 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Mean Green have scored an average of 66.0 points per game (6.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 68.2 points per game (3.3 below their season average).
