The Nicholls Colonels (2-4) clash with the UMBC Retrievers (4-2) at Montego Bay Convention Centre. The Retrievers opened as 1.5-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 127.5 points and it will air on CBS Sports Network at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 24, 2019.
Nicholls Colonels vs. UMBC Retrievers ATS Odds
Both teams lost as favorites in their last contest. The Colonels (9-point favorites) were defeated by the North Carolina A&T Aggies, 66-54, while the Retrievers (1-point favorites) fell to the Eastern Michigan Eagles, 62-45. The Nicholls game finished 15 points under the projected point total of 135, while the UMBC game finished 7.5 points under the projected point total of 114.5.
Nicholls forced North Carolina A&T into a turnover percentage of 30.6 (above their season average of 21.7) while UMBC had a better effective field goal percentage (0.464 vs. 0.533). UMBC was lifted by Darnell Rogers, who finished with five points. Meanwhile, Elvis Harvey played a key role for Nicholls with 15 points and six rebounds.
Colonels games have typically gone under the total (80.0 percent). Nicholls has a superb 4-1 record against the spread (ATS), despite being 2-4 straight up (SU).
Retrievers games also have a tendency to go under the total (100.0 percent). UMBC is 4-2 SU, but they struggle covering the spread (0-2 ATS).
This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the offense of UMBC. Since the 2018-19 season, UMBC ranks 213th in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 19.2 percent), while the gambling defense of Nicholls has forced the 74th-most turnovers in the NCAA (20.9 percent). Furthermore, the Colonels’ 278th-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 100.8) will face a tough challenge against the Retrievers’ 12th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 93.5).
Nicholls Colonels vs. UMBC Retrievers Pick
Basketball Pick: SU Winner – UMBC, ATS Winner – UMBC, O/U – Over
Betting Notes (2018-Present):
- Nicholls ranks 19th in three pointers attempted per game (27.7) while UMBC ranks 282nd in three pointers allowed per game (25.4).
- The Colonels rank 88th in blocks per game (3.9) while the Retrievers rank 237th (2.4).
- Nicholls ranks 37th in steals allowed per game (5.3) while UMBC ranks 120th (6.1).
- The Retrievers rank 91st in rebounds allowed per game (33.6) while the Colonels rank 315th (40.2).
- UMBC ranks 54th in assists allowed per game (11.4) while Nicholls ranks 242nd (14.4).
