New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

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The New York Yankees will square off against their division rival Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. RSN Sports will televise the matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 1:07 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Toronto (+135) is coming into this one as the underdog against New York (-145) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this day game at 9.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). The games most recent runline odds stand at +100 for taking the Yankees -1.5 runs and -120 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs.

The Blue Jays are 41-47 straight up (SU) and 41-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.3 units for moneyline bettors and 8.8 units (ATS). Toronto has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Yankees have gone 57-29 SU this year and are 46-39 ATS. Overall, the teams gained 9.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.1 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 40-39-8 so far in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 36-46-3.

Domingo German will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed German (2-4, 5.37 ERA) has racked up 81 punchouts in 68.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 10.80 ERA against Toronto this year.

The Blue Jays will turn to lefty Ryan Borucki (0-1, 2.77 ERA) to the mound. Borucki has 11 strikeouts and four walks to his credit, as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Borucki hasn’t faced the Yankees yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.

Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The teams starters have a 5.00 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 34 games against AL East opponents, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.74 and the bullpens ERA is 2.92.

Toronto’s offense has produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .243/.316/.432 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Blue Jays’ batters have been led by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and outfielder Kevin Pillar. Solarte is hitting .254/.313/.451 with 16 home runs, 48 RBIs and 42 runs scored, and Pillar’s line sits at .246/.280/.409 with eight homers, 32 RBIs, 39 runs and 11 steals.

For the visiting squad, New York’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.93 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.01 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.72, along with a K/9 of 11.71.

Yankees hitters have slashed .249/.332/.462 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

New York’s hitters have been led by Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge, who’ve collectively launched 46 home runs. Stanton is slashing .265/.340/.509 with 21 home runs, 51 RBIs and 52 runs scored. Judge is hitting .277/.396/.573 with 25 homers, 58 RBIs and 62 runs scored.

The Yankees have gained 11.7 units and are 14-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 5.3 units and are 26-29 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 27 of those games, compared to 24 that went under.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in only two of Toronto’s last seven games.
  • The Yankees have won three of their last four games SU.
  • Toronto has recorded 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.2 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 10 over their last 10.