New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free Pick

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In the 0 game of an AL East doubleheader, the New York Yankees are set to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. The matchup will get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to YES Network to catch the game.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds

New York (receiving +135) is entering this game as the underdog against Tampa Bay (-145) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this day game at 7 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Yankees +1.5 runs (-160) and Rays -1.5 runs (+140).

The Rays are 24-14 straight up (SU) and 23-14 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.4 units for moneyline bettors and 8.3 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Yankees have gone 23-16 SU this year and are 20-18 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 1.6 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going, but have gained 1.9 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Tampa Bay games have an over/under record of 15-20-2 so far in 2019. Yankees games have gone over 20 times, gone under 17 times and pushed on one occasion.

Right-hander Masahiro Tanaka is getting the nod for New York. Tanaka is 2-3 with a 3.77 ERA and 40 strikeouts. He has yet to face Tampa Bay this year, but he did make three starts against the team in 2018, posting a 1-2 record with a 2.37 ERA and 19 strikeouts.

The Rays are putting the ball in the left hand of Blake Snell (3-3, 3.62 ERA), who has 50 strikeouts and nine walks as well as a 0.96 WHIP. Snell made three starts against the team in 2018, posting a 1-2 record in 2018, compiling a 1-2 record with a 6.08 ERA.

As a unit, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has yielded 3.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 2.50 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.21 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 15 divisional games, Rays starters have an ERA of 2.30 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.18.

Tampa Bay’s offense has put up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .280/.367/.484 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Left fielder Tommy Pham and second baseman Brandon Lowe have paced the Rays’ hitters so far. Pham is hitting .284/.400/.440 with five home runs, 18 RBIs, 15 runs and six steals, while Lowe is hitting .297 with eight homers, 22 RBIs and 22 runs.

For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.62 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.66 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.33, along with a K/9 of 10.75.

Yankees hitters have slashed .253/.335/.430 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

New York’s hitters have been paced by second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres. LeMahieu is slashing .328/.381/.450 with 43 hits, 20 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Torres (.286/.323/.456) is up to 42 hits, five homers, 17 RBIs and 19 runs scored.

The Yankees have lost 1.0 units and are 3-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rays have lost 2.3 units and are 16-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 11 that went under.

Yankees vs. Rays Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • New York has logged nine extra-base hits over its last five contests. Tampa Bay has 21 XBH over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 12 over their last 10.
  • The Yankees have a total OPS of .765 this season and an OPS of .678 against left-handed pitchers. The Rays’ OPS sits at .778 overall and .709 against lefties.
  • Tampa Bay has posted 22.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.4 over its last five.