New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Preview

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The New York Yankees will be taking on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. This interleague matchup will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to YES Network to catch the action.

New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Vegas has listed New York (-125) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+115). The total is sitting at 9 runs and bettors can take the over for +105 and the under for -125. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds sitting at Yankees -1.5 runs (+120) and Phillies +1.5 runs (-140).

The Phillies are 41-36 straight up (SU) and 33-43 against the spread (ATS). The teams gained 6.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 17.0 units (ATS). The Yankees are 52-25 SU and have gone 41-35 ATS. Overall, the teams gained 9.9 units for moneyline bettors and 4.3 units ATS.

Phillies games have a 36-36-4 over/under record so far in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 33-40-3.

Right-hander Luis Cessa is the projected starter for the visiting Yankees. Cessa (0-0, 3.00 ERA) has recorded seven strikeouts in six innings so far. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Phillies are handing the ball to righty Zach Eflin (5-2, 3.44 ERA), who has 51 strikeouts and 12 walks to his name, as well as a 1.17 WHIP. Eflin did not record a start against the Yankees in 2017.

New York’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.76 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.10 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.73, along with a K-per-9 of 11.98.

The Yankees offense has slashed .250/.332/.458 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 4.0 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge have paced New York’s hitters. Stanton is hitting .268/.341/.517 with 19 home runs, 46 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Judge is hitting .277 with 20 homers, 52 RBIs and 53 runs scored.

For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.82 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

Philadelphia’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The teams hit .253/.342/.418 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the Phillies’ batters this year. Herrera is hitting .298/.352/.493 with 13 home runs, 45 RBIs and 40 runs scored, and Hernandez line is .264/.374/.386 with eight homers, 27 RBIs, 54 runs and 12 stolen bases.

The Yankees have gained 0.3 units and are 30-23 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 6.3 units and are 25-31 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 27 that went under the total.

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in three of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • New York has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.8 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 17 over their last 10.