New York Yankees vs. Miami Marlins Betting Preview

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The New York Yankees will head south to face the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and YES Network will broadcast this interleague matchup.

New York Yankees vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Miami (+220) is the home-team underdog against New York (-240) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at +105 for the over and -125 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -160 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and +140 for the Marlins +1.5.

The Marlins are 64-62 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 50-76 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 2.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.5 units (ATS). The Yankees are 78-46 SU and have gone 63-61 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 0.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 5.2 units ATS.

Miami games have an over/under record of 64-58-4 in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 55-62-7.

The right-handed Masahiro Tanaka will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. Tanaka is 9-4 with a 4.03 ERA and 117 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Miami this year.

The Marlins are planning to start Pablo Lopez (2-3, 4.79 ERA), who’s got 38 strikeouts and 12 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.17. Lopez has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.

Miami’s pitchers have yielded 5.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.59, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 5.20 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

The Miami hitters have produced 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .281/.338/.465 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ batters this year. Castro is hitting .287/.335/.407 with 10 home runs, 45 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and Anderson’s line sits at .274/.352/.396 with nine homers, 54 RBIs and 66 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.08 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.15 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.16, along with a WHIP of 1.25.

The Yankees offense has slashed .253/.333/.455 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

New York’s hitters have been paced by Giancarlo Stanton and Miguel Andujar, who’ve collectively blasted 52 home runs. Stanton is slashing .285/.353/.543 with 32 home runs, 80 RBIs and 82 runs scored, while Andujar (.299/.330/.530) is up to 20 homers, 65 RBIs and 63 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 2.1 units and are 45-50 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under.

New York Yankees at Miami Marlins MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of New York’s last seven outings.
  • New York has recorded 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.2 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.