New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Indians Betting Preview

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The New York Yankees will be taking on the Cleveland Indians in a Saturday showdown. This AL showdown will be nationally broadcasted on Fox Sports One and the first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians Odds

New York (receiving -130) is favored over Cleveland (+120) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total now sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at +115 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and -135 for the Indians +1.5 runs.

The Yankees are 39-23 SU and are 34-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 5.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.2 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 32-31 SU and 28-34 ATS. The team’s lost 9.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.2 units ATS. Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Cleveland games have a 26-35-1 over/under record so far in 2019. The Yankees have an over/under record of 31-27-3.

CC Sabathia will get the nod for New York. The left-handed Sabathia is 3-2 with a 3.61 ERA and 42 strikeouts. This is his first outing against Cleveland this year. He did make two starts against the Indians in 2018, posting a 0-0 record against them with a 3.09 ERA and nine strikeouts.

The Indians are putting the ball in the right hand of Adam Plutko (1-1, 6.35 ERA), who has seven strikeouts and two walks this season as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Plutko did not re a start against the Yankees in 2018.

As a unit, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.33, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.8. The bullpen has a 3.25 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

Cleveland’s hitters have produced 4.1 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .218/.269/.481 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Carlos Santana and shortstop Francisco Lindor have led the way for the Indians’ batters this year. Santana is hitting .286/.405/.518 with 12 home runs, 39 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Lindor’s line sits at .302/.372/.547 with 11 homers, 24 RBIs, 30 runs and seven stolen bases.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.87 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.92 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.76, along with a K/9 of 10.21.

The Yankees offense has slashed .256/.334/.446 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres continue to lead New York’s hitters. LeMahieu is slashing .317/.365/.471 with seven home runs, 40 RBIs and 39 runs scored. Torres is slashing .279/.326/.523 with 14 homers, 31 RBIs and 34 runs scored.

The Yankees have gained 9.5 units and are 27-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 25 of those games, as opposed to 19 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Indians have netted 0.1 units and are 9-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.

Yankees vs. Indians Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in four of Cleveland’s last seven games.
  • The Yankees have an OPS of .780 this season and an OPS of .809 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .692 overall and .703 against righties.
  • The Indians have won three of their last four games SU.
  • New York has recorded 21.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.2 over its last five.
  • Each team has hit 18 home runs over its last 10 games.