New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

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The struggling Baltimore Orioles will try to avoid losing their eighth consecutive game when they play host to the New York Yankees at Oriole Park. The action can be viewed across the country on ESPN and the game gets underway 8:08 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Baltimore (+245) is the home-team underdog against New York (-290) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. You can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -170 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and +150 for the Orioles +1.5 runs.

The Orioles are 37-93 straight up (SU) and 53-75 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 45.7 units for moneyline bettors and 33.0 units (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, have gone 82-47 SU this year and are 64-63 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 0.0 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 6.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Orioles games have a 55-68-5 over/under record in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 57-63-7.

Luis Severino will get the start for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed Severino is 16-6 with a 3.28 ERA and 181 strikeouts. He has yet to face Baltimore this year, but he made four starts against the team in 2017, posting a 3-0 record with a 2.73 ERA and 29 strikeouts.

The Orioles are putting the ball in the right hand of Dylan Bundy (7-12, 5.31 ERA, 1.38 WHIP), who has 140 strikeouts and 41 walks this season. Bundy is 0-1 with three strikeouts and an 11.25 ERA in one start against New York this year.

Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.5 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.41, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has a 4.80 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 60 games against AL East foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.59 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.84.

Baltimore’s offense has put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .197/.249/.272 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ hitters have been led by outfielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado. Jones is slashing .280/.313/.427 with 13 home runs, 49 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Machado is hitting .315 with 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.04 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.20 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.15, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K/9 of 11.38.

The Yankees offense has slashed .254/.334/.454 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Giancarlo Stanton and Miguel Andujar have paced New York’s offense. Stanton is slashing .282/.356/.532 with 32 home runs, 82 RBIs and 84 runs scored, while Andujar (.300/.330/.526) is up to 21 homers, 70 RBIs and 67 runs scored.

The Yankees have lost 10.7 units and are 47-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 36.8 units and are 34-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 39 of those games, compared to 43 that’ve cashed the under.

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in five of New York’s last seven outings.
  • The Yankees have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit seven over their last 10.
  • New York has recorded 24.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games SU while the Orioles have dropped nine of their last 10.