New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

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The New York Yankees will be taking on their divisional rival Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. The matchup will begin at 1:05 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Oddsmakers are listing New York (-145) as the favorite over Baltimore (+135). Gamblers are able to bet on the games total with odds posted at -130 for over 9.5 runs and +110 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the odds sitting at Yankees -1.5 runs (+100) and Orioles +1.5 runs (-120).

The Yankees are 37-17 SU and are 29-24 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.9 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 17-41 SU and 20-37 ATS. They’ve lost 22.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.6 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.

Baltimore games have an over/under record of 24-31-2 so far in 2018. New York has been a decent over bet with a total record of 29-21-3.

The right-handed Domingo German is the probable starter for the visiting Yankees. German is 0-3 with a 5.45 ERA and 41 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 10.13 ERA against Baltimore this year.

The Orioles are turning to righty Alex Cobb (1-7, 6.80 ERA), who has 25 strikeouts and 12 walks to his name as well as a 1.81 WHIP. Cobb has yet to face the Yankees this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 3.46 ERA and 11 strikeouts.

New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.09 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.83 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.32, along with a K-per-9 of 12.16.

The Yankees offense has slashed .258/.341/.470 on its way to 5.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the teams last five outings (4-1 SU).

Aaron Judge and Miguel Andujar have paced New York’s offense. Judge is slashing .288/.414/.585 with 16 home runs, 41 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Andujar has a .294 average with six homers, 21 RBIs and 27 runs scored.

Judge did not do especially well on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .257/.405/.533 across 343 plate appearances (his overall season line was .284/.422/.627).

In the home-team dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.3 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.48, a WHIP of 1.56 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 4.29 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 25 games against divisional foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.98 and the bullpens ERA is 3.19.

Baltimore’s hitters have produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 1.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .222/.280/.364 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Adam Jones have led the way for the Orioles hitters this year. Machado is hitting .327/.398/.633 with 18 home runs, 47 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Jones has put up a line of .284/.303/.474 with 10 homers, 28 RBIs and 25 runs scored.

The Yankees have gained 3.2 units and are 19-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 17.6 units and are 13-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • New York fielders have committed seven errors over their last five games, compared to three errors for Baltimore over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit eight over their last 10.