DJ LeMahieu and the surging New York Yankees will be hitting the diamond against their AL East foe Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in a Thursday night game. YES Network will be showing the action and the game gets underway at 12:35 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Las Vegas has Baltimore (+185) as the underdog to New York (-200). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to finish under 9.5 runs, then Vegas is currently offering -125 odds. Picking the over will return +105 odds. There’s a runline of Yankees -1.5 (-140) and Orioles +1.5 (+120) for this matchup.
The Yankees have gone 31-17 SU this year and are 27-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.1 units for moneyline bettors over the early part of the season and 7.0 units ATS. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 15-34 SU and 18-30 ATS. They’ve lost 6.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.1 units ATS.
Orioles games have had an over/under record of 23-22-3 so far in 2019. New York has an over/under record of 25-21-1.
Masahiro Tanaka will get the start for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed Tanaka is 3-3 with a 3.09 ERA and 53 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.59 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles are sending righty Dylan Bundy (2-5, 4.66 ERA) to the mound. Bundy has 47 punchouts and 19 walks as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Bundy is 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 7.36 ERA across two starts against New York this year.
New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.66 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.62 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.83, along with a K/9 of 11.04.
The Yankees offense has slashed .257/.336/.450 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres have led New York’s offense. LeMahieu is hitting .329/.374/.459 with four home runs, 25 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Torres (.302/.342/.564) has produced 12 homers, 26 RBIs and 28 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have yielded 6.1 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.56, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.0. The bullpen has a 6.01 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 26 games against divisional opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.04 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.87.
The Baltimore hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .205/.283/.380 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Trey Mancini and Dwight Smith Jr. have led the Orioles’ batters so far. Mancini is slashing .302/.352/.549 with 10 home runs, 23 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Smith Jr.’s line is .271/.314/.470 with eight homers, 28 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
The Yankees have gained 4.4 units and are 22-16 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 1.1 units and are 14-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under.
Yankees at Orioles Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in four of New York’s last seven games.
- The Yankees have won eight of their last nine games SU while the Orioles have dropped eight of their last nine.
- Baltimore has posted 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.0 over its last five.
- The Yankees have hit 23 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.
- The Yankees have an OPS of .787 this season and an OPS of .806 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .692 overall and .687 versus righties.
