New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Free Preview

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The New York Yankees are ready to face off against their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. The matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds

Tampa Bay (+135) is coming into this one as the underdog against New York (-145) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the games total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Gamblers can also bet on the games spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Yankees -1.5 runs (+100) and Rays +1.5 runs (-120).

The Rays are 40-34 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 35-40 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 3.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 4.8 units (ATS). The Yankees have gone 50-23 SU this year and are 40-32 ATS. In total, the teams accumulated 14.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.8 units ATS.

Rays games have an over/under record of 32-40-2 so far in 2018. The Yankees have an over/under record of 32-37-3.

Sonny Gray is getting the start for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed Gray (5-4, 4.89 ERA) has recorded 66 strikeouts in 73.2 innings so far. This is his first start against Tampa Bay this year. He did make four starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-2 record with a 4.32 ERA and 27 strikeouts.

The Rays are handing the ball to righty Wilmer Font (0-3, 7.56 ERA), who’s got 29 strikeouts and 13 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.65. Font is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.18 ERA in one start against New York this year.

As a unit, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall this season. The teams starting pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.66 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 35 divisional games, Rays starters have an ERA of 5.21 and the bullpens ERA is 3.46.

Tampa Bay’s hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over their last five. The teams hit .228/.313/.315 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Rays offense has been led by third baseman Matt Duffy and catcher Wilson Ramos. Duffy is hitting .321/.363/.440 with four home runs, 22 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Ramos has put up a line of .296/.344/.452 with nine homers, 36 RBIs and 22 runs.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.74 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.01 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 2.79, along with a K-per-9 of 11.98.

Yankees hitters have slashed .252/.334/.463 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).

New York’s offensive production has been led by Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton, who’ve collectively belted 37 home runs. Judge is slashing .282/.399/.564 with 19 home runs, 51 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Stanton is hitting .249/.324/.491 with 18 homers, 42 RBIs and 44 runs scored.

The Yankees have gained 4.3 units and are 29-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 25 of those games, as opposed to 23 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Rays have lost 7.6 units and are 24-25 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 24 of those games, compared to 24 that went under.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in six of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
  • Tampa Bay has posted 14.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.2 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.