New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Free Pick

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The Tampa Bay Rays are playing host to their AL East foe New York Yankees at Tropicana Field. The matchup will get going at 1:10 p.m. ET and YES Network will be airing the game.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Odds

Tampa Bay (+115) is coming into this one as the underdog against New York (-125) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this day game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Runline odds stand at +120 for picking the Yankees -1.5 runs and -140 for the Rays +1.5 runs.

The Yankees are 50-24 SU and have gone 40-33 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 12.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 5.7 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Rays, on the other hand, are 36-40 SU and 41-34 ATS. The team has lost 1.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 5.8 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.

Tampa Bay games have a 32-41-2 over/under record so far in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 32-38-3.

Right-hander Domingo German is getting the nod for New York. German is 2-4 with a 4.77 ERA and 72 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Tampa Bay this year.

The Rays are handing the ball to righty Matt Andriese (1-3, 3.68 ERA), who has 42 strikeouts and nine walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.14. Andriese is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against New York this year.

As a unit, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The teams starters have a 3.99 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.63 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 36 divisional games, Rays starters have an ERA of 5.00 and the bullpens ERA is 3.39.

The Tampa Bay hitters have put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .222/.313/.342 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Third baseman Matt Duffy and catcher Wilson Ramos have paced the Rays offense this year. Duffy is hitting .321/.365/.439 with four home runs, 22 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Ramos is hitting .291 with nine homers, 36 RBIs and 22 runs.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.76 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.02 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.77, along with a WHIP of 1.18.

Yankees hitters have slashed .251/.332/.460 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton continue to lead New York’s offense. Judge is hitting .279/.398/.558 with 19 home runs, 51 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Stanton (.249/.323/.491) has produced 18 homers, 42 RBIs and 44 runs scored.

The Rays have lost 7.6 units and are 24-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve hit the under against righty starters.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • New York has recorded 15 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Tampa Bay has 13 XBH over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
  • New York has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.4 over its last five.