New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Free Pick

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The Tampa Bay Rays will play host to their divisional rival New York Yankees at Tropicana Field. The game gets underway 12:10 p.m. ET and YES Network will be showing the matchup.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds

Tampa Bay (+130) is the home-team underdog to New York (-140) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). The games runline odds sit at +105 for picking the Yankees -1.5 runs and -125 for the Rays +1.5 runs.

The Rays are 51-50 straight up (SU) and 57-43 against the spread (ATS). The teams gained 8.6 units for moneyline bettors and 15.1 units (ATS). Tampa Bay has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Yankees are 64-35 SU and have gone 50-48 ATS. In total, the teams accumulated 4.9 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 1.7 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Tampa Bay games have had an over/under record of 43-54-3 in 2018. The Yankees have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 44-50-4.

Right-hander Luis Cessa is projected to start for New York. Cessa is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 13 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Tampa Bay this year.

The Rays are planning to start righty Nathan Eovaldi (3-4, 4.26 ERA), who has 53 punchouts and eight walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 0.98. Eovaldi is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 6.14 ERA in one start against New York this year.

As a unit, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The teams starters have an ERA of 3.77, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.66 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 39 games against divisional foes, Rays starters have an ERA of 5.03 and the bullpens ERA is 3.40.

Tampa Bay’s offense has put up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The teams hit .222/.280/.389 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Third baseman Matt Duffy and first baseman C.J. Cron have led the way for the Rays hitters this year. Duffy is slashing .309/.363/.401 with four home runs, 28 RBIs and 34 runs scored, and Cron is batting .257 with 19 homers, 50 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.03 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.92 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 2.75, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K-per-9 of 11.53.

The Yankees offense has slashed .254/.334/.460 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge continue to lead New York’s hitters. Stanton is hitting .282/.350/.516 with 23 home runs, 59 RBIs and 61 runs scored. Judge is hitting .283/.397/.550 with 26 homers, 61 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

The Yankees have lost 9.8 units and are 35-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Rays have lost 0.2 units and are 37-32 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 33 of those games, compared to 34 that went under the total.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in just one of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
  • Both teams have hit 12 home runs over their last 10 games.
  • New York has recorded 24.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.8 over its last five.