The New York Yankees will play the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and this AL showdown will be televised on both RTNW and YES.
New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners Odds
Oddsmakers are listing New York (-130) as the favorite over Seattle (+120). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +115 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and -135 for the Mariners +1.5.
The Mariners are 78-64 straight up (SU) and 68-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 12.6 units (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, have gone 89-53 SU this year and are 70-71 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 5.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.8 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Seattle games have an over/under record of 69-70-2 in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent under bet with a total record of 63-71-7.
The southpaw CC Sabathia will get the nod for New York. Sabathia is 7-6 with a 3.54 ERA and 124 strikeouts. This is his first start against Seattle this year. He made two starts against the Mariners in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record against them with a 1.50 ERA and 11 strikeouts.
The Mariners will turn to righty Erasmo Ramirez (2-3, 5.56 ERA) to the mound. Ramirez has 25 strikeouts and seven walks to his credit, as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Ramirez only made one start against the Yankees in 2017 (0-0, 4.82 ERA and six strikeouts across nine and 1-third innings).
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.12 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.22 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.15, along with a K-per-9 of 11.39.
Yankees hitters have slashed .250/.331/.449 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton have paced New York’s offense. Andujar is slashing .298/.332/.521 with 23 home runs, 76 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Stanton has a .267 average with 33 homers, 85 RBIs and 87 runs scored.
For the home team, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 4.33 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.98 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Seattle hitters have produced 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .187/.267/.348 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Mariners’ offense has been led by shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Mitch Haniger. Segura is slashing .311/.343/.426 with nine home runs, 60 RBIs, 82 runs and 20 steals, while Haniger’s line sits at .277/.362/.487 with 24 homers, 85 RBIs and 74 runs.
The Yankees have lost 9.8 units and are 52-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 46 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Mariners have lost 3.3 units and are 22-23 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 26 which went under the total.
New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in four of Seattle’s last seven games.
- The Mariners have lost three of their last four games SU.
- Seattle has posted 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 14.0 over its last five.
- The Yankees have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit nine over their last 10.
