The New York Yankees are set to face the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. YES Network will be airing this interleague matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (+170) is the home-team underdog against New York (-180) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -125 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and +105 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Yankees have gone 79-46 SU this year and are 63-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.3 units for moneyline bettors and 5.2 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 50-77 SU and 64-62 ATS. They’ve lost 2.3 units for moneyline bettors and 12.5 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Marlins games have had an over/under record of 64-58-4 in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent under bet with a total record of 55-62-7.
The right-handed Lance Lynn is projected to start for the visiting Yankees. Lynn is 8-8 with a 4.68 ERA and 127 strikeouts. He has yet to face Miami this year, but he made two starts against the Marlins in 2017, posting a 0-1 record against them with a 5.79 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
The Marlins are handing the ball to Trevor Richards (3-7, 4.28 ERA), who’s got 88 strikeouts and 40 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.44. Richards did not pitch in the majors last season.
As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.56 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.15 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.
The Miami hitters have put up 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .255/.320/.426 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ hitters this year. Castro is slashing .285/.336/.405 with 10 home runs, 45 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Anderson’s line sits at .276/.355/.397 with nine homers, 54 RBIs and 66 runs scored.
For the visitors, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.06 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.12 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.12, along with a K-per-9 of 11.43.
The Yankees offense has slashed .253/.333/.453 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
New York’s hitters have been paced by Giancarlo Stanton and Miguel Andujar, who’ve collectively belted 52 home runs. Stanton is hitting .285/.353/.542 with 32 home runs, 80 RBIs and 82 runs scored, while Andujar is hitting .297/.328/.526 with 20 homers, 66 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 2.1 units and are 45-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under against righties.
New York Yankees vs. Miami Marlins MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.
- New York has posted 22.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.
- The Yankees have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.
