New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

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Gleyber Torres and the New York Yankees are preparing to take the field against their AL East nemesis Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards in a Sunday showdown. YES Network will broadcast the action. The game is slated to get underway at 1:05 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Las Vegas has New York (-165) as the favorite over Baltimore (+155). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to finish under 9 runs scored, then Vegas is teeing up even money odds (+100). Picking the over give you -120 odds. This game currently has a runline of Yankees -1.5 (-115) and Orioles +1.5 (-105).

The Orioles are 4-4 straight up (SU) and 4-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.1 units ATS. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 4-4 SU and have gone 3-4 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 7.6 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 2.2 units ATS.

Orioles games have an over/under record of 4-3 thus far in 2019. New York has an over/under record of 3-4.

Domingo German (1-0, 0.00 ERA) is projected to get the nod for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed German struck out 102 hitters in 85 innings last year (14 starts) but finished the season 2-6 overall with a 5.57 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP.

The Orioles have tabbed righty David Hess (1-0, 0.00 ERA) as their starter. Hess started 19 games last year while finishing the season 3-10 overall with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.10 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.96 K/9. The bullpen has managed an outstanding ERA of just 2.59, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K/9 of 9.77.

Yankees hitters have slashed .254/.356/.436 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Gleyber Torres and second baseman DJ LeMahieu have led New York’s hitters. Torres is hitting .367/.424/.633 with 11 hits, four RBIs and four runs scored, while LeMahieu (.458/.536/.542) has produced 11 hits, two RBIs and six runs scored.

In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 3.78, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 6.14 ERA, 1.72 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In eight games against divisional foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 3.78 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.14.

The Baltimore hitters have put up 4.1 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .238/.312/.381 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have led the Orioles’ hitters so far. Mancini is hitting .364/.371/.788 with 12 hits, nine RBIs and eight runs scored, and Villar’s line sits at .314/.333/.571 with 11 hits, four RBIs and six runs.

The Yankees have lost 5.9 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in three of those games, as opposed to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have netted 1.4 units and are 2-2 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under.

Yankees at Orioles MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The Yankees went 12-7 SU against the Orioles in 2018.
  • The Orioles’ bullpen recorded an ERA of 4.22 against the Yankees last year.
  • The Yankees have an OPS of .792 this season and an OPS of .822 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .683 overall and their right / left split is nearly identical.