New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

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The New York Yankees will face off against their divisional rival Baltimore Orioles in a Saturday showdown. The matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to YES Network to catch the game.

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Odds

New York (receiving -170) is the favorite over Baltimore (+160) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Runline odds stand at -120 for taking the Yankees -1.5 runs and +100 for the Orioles +1.5 runs.

The Yankees are 3-4 SU and have gone 3-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.6 units for moneyline bettors through the early part of the season and 2.2 units ATS. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 4-3 SU and 4-3 ATS. The team has gained 5.8 units for moneyline bettors and 1.1 units ATS.

Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 4-3 so far in 2019. The Yankees have an over/under record of 3-4.

Left-hander J.A. Happ (0-1, 9.00 ERA) will get the ball for the visiting Yankees. Happ struck out 193 hitters across 177 innings last year (31 starts) while finishing the season 17-6 overall with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. He made five starts against Baltimore in 2018 and put together a 3-0 record against the Orioles with a 1.55 ERA and 37 strikeouts.

The Orioles are turning to righty Dylan Bundy (0-0, 7.36 ERA), who recorded 184 strikeouts in 171 innings last year (with only 54 walks). Bundy finished the season 8-16 overall with a 5.45 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. He recorded two starts against the Yankees a year ago and put up a 0-2 record with a 9.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

As a unit, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.34, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 6.32 ERA, 1.82 WHIP and 7.8 K/9. In seven games against AL East foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 3.34 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.32.

The Baltimore offense is putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .241/.323/.416 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have paced the Orioles’ offense so far. Mancini is hitting .357/.367/.714 with 10 hits, eight RBIs and seven runs scored, while Villar’s line is .333/.355/.633 with 10 hits, four RBIs and five runs.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 3.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.97 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.91 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.36, along with a K-per-9 of 10.13.

Yankees hitters have slashed .245/.352/.406 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

New York’s hitters have been led by shortstop Gleyber Torres and second baseman DJ LeMahieu. Torres is slashing .357/.379/.643 with 10 hits, four RBIs and three runs scored. LeMahieu (.400/.500/.500) has produced eight hits, two RBIs and five runs scored.

The Yankees have lost 5.9 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have netted 4.5 units and are 2-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in two of those games, compared to one that went under the total.

Yankees vs. Orioles Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Yankees went 12-7 SU against the Orioles last season.
  • The Orioles’ bullpen managed 4.22 ERA against the Yankees last year.
  • The Yankees have an OPS of .758 this season and an OPS of .743 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .683 overall and their right / left split is nearly identical.