New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick

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The New York Mets will pay a visit to Washington to play their NL East rival Nationals at Nationals Park. SportsNet New York will televise the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Washington (+140) is the home-team underdog against New York (-150) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total now stand at -125 for the over and +105 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -105 for picking the Mets -1.5 runs and -115 for the Nationals +1.5.

The Nationals are 16-24 straight up (SU) and 15-25 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 13.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.2 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mets are 19-20 SU and have gone 21-18 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 5.2 units for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the year, but have gained 1.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Washington games have an over/under record of 20-18-2 so far in 2019. New York has an over/under record of 21-16-2.

Noah Syndergaard will get the start for New York. The right-handed Syndergaard (2-3, 5.14 ERA) has racked up 54 strikeouts in 49 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with 13 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Washington this year (two starts).

The Nationals will turn to righty Jeremy Hellickson (2-1, 5.52 ERA), who has 26 strikeouts and 13 walks, in addition to a 1.61 WHIP. Hellickson hasn’t faced the Mets yet this year, but he made two starts against them in 2018, posting a 1-0 record with a 2.53 ERA and nine strikeouts.

Washington’s pitching staff has yielded 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.03 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.34 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 17 games against NL East foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.95 and the bullpen’s ERA is 7.92.

The Washington hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .180/.233/.255 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Nationals’ hitters have been led by outfielders Adam Eaton and Victor Robles. Eaton is hitting .280/.339/.391 with three home runs, 11 RBIs, 22 runs and five stolen bases, and the line for Robles stands at .250/.301/.438 with six homers, 14 RBIs, 25 runs and eight stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.37 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.66 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.78, along with a K/9 of 9.50.

The Mets offense has slashed .250/.331/.402 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

New York’s hitters have been paced by left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario. McNeil is hitting .360/.440/.496 with 50 hits, 14 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Rosario (.278/.316/.424) is up to 40 hits, 24 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 4.3 units and are 15-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 9.3 units and are 12-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, as opposed to 14 that’ve gone under.

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in five of New York’s last seven games.
  • The Mets have an OPS of .733 this season and an OPS of .724 against right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS sits at .707 overall and .675 versus righties.
  • New York has recorded 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.6 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.