New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick

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The New York Mets will make a road trip to Washington to face off against their divisional rival Nationals at Nationals Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 12:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup.

New York Mets at Washington Nationals Odds

The Mets are 43-59 SU and have gone 47-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 13.2 units ATS. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 52-52 SU and 49-56 ATS. They’ve lost 20.5 units for moneyline bettors and 10.3 units ATS.

Washington games have an over/under record of 43-60-2 in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 44-53-5.

Right-hander Noah Syndergaard is the projected starter for the visiting Mets. Syndergaard is 6-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 83 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against Washington this year.

The Nationals are handing the ball to lefty Tommy Milone (0-0, 5.40 ERA), who’s got six strikeouts and zero walks to his name, as well as a 1.60 WHIP. Milone hasn’t faced the Mets yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.01 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.98 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.77, along with a K-per-9 of 8.48.

Mets hitters have slashed .229/.311/.379 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led New York’s hitters. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored. Rosario (.245/.288/.370) is up to four homers, 27 RBIs, 39 runs and nine stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Washington’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.97, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 42 divisional games, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.58 and the bullpens ERA is 4.04.

The Washington hitters have produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .258/.356/.449 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Nationals batters have been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is slashing .267/.338/.412 with 13 home runs, 43 RBIs, 60 runs and 24 stolen bases, while Rendon’s line sits at .284/.347/.514 with 15 homers, 47 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 6.4 units and are 13-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 5.7 units and are 39-38 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 45 that went under the total.

New York Mets at Washington Nationals MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in four of Washington’s last seven games.
  • New York has recorded 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.8 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.