New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

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The New York Mets will make a road trip to Toronto to face the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will be televising this interleague showdown.

New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Toronto (-130) as the favorite over New York (+120). The total is sitting at 9 runs and bettors can take the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds standing at -175 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +155 for the Blue Jays -1.5.

The Mets have gone only 33-48 SU this year and are 33-47 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 19.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 39-45 SU and 39-44 ATS. The team has lost 4.7 units for moneyline bettors and 9.4 units ATS. Toronto has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Blue Jays games have a 39-36-8 over/under record thus far in 2018. The Mets have been a decent under bet with a total record of 34-42-4.

Right-hander Zack Wheeler is projected to start for the visiting Mets. Wheeler (2-6, 4.47 ERA) has racked up 86 punchouts in 88.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA against Toronto this year.

The Blue Jays are handing the ball to righty Marco Estrada (4-7, 4.53 ERA), who’s got 69 strikeouts and 24 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Estrada hasn’t faced the Mets yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.00 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.37 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.74, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K-per-9 of 8.72.

Mets hitters have slashed .231/.312/.382 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario continue to lead New York’s offense. Cabrera is slashing .280/.323/.479 with 14 home runs, 45 RBIs and 38 runs scored. Rosario is hitting .245 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

For the home team, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.84 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The Toronto offense has produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .228/.299/.335 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Blue Jays hitters have been led by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and right fielder Kevin Pillar. Solarte is slashing .250/.309/.444 with 15 home runs, 45 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Pillar’s line is .248/.281/.406 with seven homers, 29 RBIs, 38 runs and 10 stolen bases.

The Mets have lost 12.4 units and are 22-35 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 24 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 5.8 units and are 24-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 26 of those games, compared to 21 which went under the total.

New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of New York’s last seven outings.
  • New York has posted 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.0 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 12 over their last 10.