New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Free Pick

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The New York Mets are set to square off against the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. SportsNet New York will be televising this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 4:05 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

New York (+135) is entering this game as the underdog to San Francisco (-145) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Mets +1.5 runs (-160) and Giants -1.5 runs (+140).

The Giants are 68-68 straight up (SU) and 75-60 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 6.3 units for moneyline bettors and 12.6 units (ATS). San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. On the other hand, the Mets have gone 59-75 SU this year and are 63-69 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 15.9 units for moneyline bettors and 11.9 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

San Francisco games have a 59-71-5 over/under record in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 59-67-6.

Steven Matz is getting the start for the visiting Mets. The southpaw Matz is 5-11 with a 4.36 ERA and 113 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against San Francisco this year.

The Giants are putting the ball in the left hand of Derek Holland (7-8, 3.65 ERA, 1.28 WHIP), who has 141 punchouts and 52 walks. Holland is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA in one start against New York this year.

San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 3.97 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.57 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The San Francisco offense is putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .193/.273/.317 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Right fielder Andrew McCutchen and shortstop Brandon Crawford have led the Giants’ batters this year. McCutchen is slashing .255/.357/.415 with 15 home runs, 55 RBIs, 65 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Crawford’s line is .260/.328/.405 with 12 homers, 49 RBIs and 55 runs.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.81 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.06 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.02, along with a K-per-9 of 8.33.

Mets hitters have slashed .235/.314/.387 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

New York’s hitters have been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera. The speedy Rosario is slashing .249/.290/.372 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs, 60 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 homers, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 8.3 units and are 16-19 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 4.2 units and are 29-24 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 26 that went under.

New York Mets at San Francisco Giants MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • New York has tallied nine extra-base hits over its last five games. San Francisco has 11 XBH over its last five.
  • The Giants have won five of their last six games SU.
  • San Francisco has recorded 16 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 14 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit eight over their last 10.