New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Free Pick

betdsiArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Francisco Giants are set to play host to the New York Mets at AT&T Park. This NL matchup will begin at 4:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsNet New York to catch the game.

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

San Francisco (+135) is coming into this one as the underdog against New York (-145) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 7.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Mets -1.5 runs (+100) and Giants +1.5 runs (-120).

The Giants are 68-69 straight up (SU) and 76-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 7.3 units for moneyline bettors and 14.3 units (ATS). San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Mets have gone 60-75 SU this year and are 63-70 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 16.9 units for moneyline bettors and 14.1 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Giants games have a 59-71-6 over/under record in 2018. The Mets have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 59-67-7.

Noah Syndergaard is getting the start for New York. The right-handed Syndergaard is 9-3 with a 3.51 ERA and 117 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against San Francisco this year.

The Giants are handing the ball to righty Chris Stratton (9-7, 4.99 ERA), who has 89 strikeouts and 41 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.46 WHIP. Stratton is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA in one start against New York this year.

San Francisco’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.95 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.55 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The San Francisco offense has put up 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .176/.250/.288 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Giants’ hitters have been led by right fielder Andrew McCutchen and shortstop Brandon Crawford. McCutchen is slashing .255/.357/.415 with 15 home runs, 55 RBIs, 65 runs and 13 steals, while Crawford is batting .260 with 12 homers, 49 RBIs and 55 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.79 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.11 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.98, along with a K-per-9 of 8.36.

Mets hitters have slashed .235/.313/.386 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Amed Rosario and second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera have paced New York’s hitters. The speedy Rosario is slashing .249/.289/.374 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs, 60 runs and 16 steals, while Cabrera (.277/.329/.488) has produced 18 homers, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 7.6 units and are 47-50 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 45 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 3.1 units and are 47-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 34 of those games, as opposed to 45 that’ve cashed the under.

New York Mets at San Francisco Giants Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • New York has tallied 12 extra-base hits over its last five contests. San Francisco has 10 XBH over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit eight over their last 10.
  • San Francisco has recorded 15.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 13.2 over its last five.