The New York Mets will head west to PETCO Park to play the San Diego Padres. SportsNet New York will televise this NL matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET.
New York Mets at San Diego Padres Odds
Oddsmakers have placed equal -105 moneyline odds on each team. If you think this game’s total will go under 7 runs, Vegas is currently offering -120 odds. Playing the over will return even money (+100). Runline odds sit at +140 for picking the Mets -1.5 runs and -160 for the Padres +1.5 runs.
The Mets are 16-18 SU and have gone 17-16 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.0 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 0.8 units ATS. The Padres, on the other hand, are 19-16 SU and 16-18 ATS. They’ve gained 1.4 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.2 units ATS.
San Diego games have an over/under record of 14-18-2 so far in 2019. New York has been a decent over bet with a total record of 19-12-2.
The right-handed Jacob deGrom is the projected starter for the visiting Mets. deGrom is 2-3 with a 3.82 ERA and 49 strikeouts. He has yet to face San Diego this year, but he made two starts against the Padres in 2018, putting together a 1-1 record against them with a 1.17 ERA and 18 strikeouts.
The Padres are countering with Chris Paddack (2-1, 1.91 ERA). Paddack has 35 punchouts and nine walks, along with a 0.70 WHIP. Paddack did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2018.
San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.52 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.96 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 10.4 K/9.
The San Diego hitters have put up 3.9 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .259/.321/.477 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Padres’ hitters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr.. Hosmer is slashing .275/.324/.443 with five home runs, 20 RBIs and 18 runs scored, and Tatis Jr.’s line is .300/.360/.550 with six homers, 13 RBIs, 14 runs and six stolen bases.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.57 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.73 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.95, along with a K-per-9 of 9.40.
The Mets offense has slashed .246/.326/.395 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 2.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
New York’s hitters have been paced by left fielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso. McNeil is hitting .347/.423/.463 with 42 hits, 13 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Alonso is slashing .280/.364/.600 with 35 hits, 10 homers, 27 RBIs and 21 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 5.2 units and are 12-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have netted 1.5 units and are 10-16 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under.
Mets vs. Padres MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in six of New York’s last seven games.
- The Mets have an OPS of .721 this season and an OPS of .705 against right-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS sits at .701 overall and .689 against righties.
- The Mets have lost four of their last five games SU.
- New York has recorded 17.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 14.2 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 17 over their last 10.
