The New York Mets will head west to Miller Park to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers. This NL matchup will get going at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsNet New York to catch the game.
New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Milwaukee (-120) as the favorite over New York (+110). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over nine runs and -120 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Mets +1.5 runs (-190) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+165).
The Mets are 16-15 SU and are 16-14 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going, despite having gained 1.0 unit ATS. New York has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 17-16 SU and 15-17 ATS. They’ve gained 1.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.4 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 13-18-1 so far in 2019. The Mets have been a decent over bet with a total record of 19-9-2.
The left-handed Steven Matz is the probable starter for the visiting Mets. Matz (3-1, 3.68 ERA) has recorded 29 strikeouts in 29.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are putting the ball in the right hand of Brandon Woodruff (3-1, 5.17 ERA), who has 38 punchouts and 10 walks this season as well as a 1.47 WHIP. Woodruff is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA in one start against New York this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has yielded 5.3 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 5.49 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.92 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .230/.287/.373 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .353/.460/.804 with 14 home runs, 34 RBIs, 26 runs and six stolen bases, and Cain’s line is .269/.329/.408 with three homers, 11 RBIs and 23 runs scored.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.59 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.73 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.53, along with a WHIP of 1.34.
The Mets offense has slashed .253/.337/.409 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Left fielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso have led New York’s offense. McNeil is hitting .352/.435/.481 with 38 hits, 12 RBIs and 15 runs scored. Alonso is hitting .291/.383/.627 with 32 hits, nine homers, 26 RBIs and 20 runs scored.
The Brewers have gained 1.6 units and are 6-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to five that’ve hit the under against lefty starters.
Mets vs. Brewers MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in three of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Mets have a total OPS of .746 this season and an OPS of .726 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .776 overall and .766 against righties.
- New York has recorded 19 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 16 over their last 10.
