New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Free Pick

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The New York Mets are ready to commence their season against their divisional foe, the Miami Marlins, at Marlins Park. SportsNet New York will be televising the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

New York Mets at Miami Marlins Odds

Vegas has listed Miami (+115) as the underdog to New York (-125). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +110 for over eight runs and -130 for under eight. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +120 for picking the Mets -1.5 runs and -140 for the Marlins +1.5.

Left-hander Steven Matz will get the ball for New York. Matz recorded 152 strikeouts across 154 innings last year (30 starts) but finished the season 5-11 overall with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. He made three starts against Miami in 2018 and put together a 1-0 record against the Marlins with a 1.53 ERA and 18 strikeouts.

The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Caleb Smith, who recorded 88 strikeouts in 77 innings last year (16 starts). Smith finished the season 5-6 overall with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. He made two starts against New York a year ago and assembled a 1-0 record with a 3.09 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

The Marlins have gained 0.1 units and are 1-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to zero that’ve hit the under against lefty starters.

Mets at Marlins MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The Marlins went 7-12 SU against the Mets last season.
  • The Marlins’ bullpen managed an ERA of 3.63 against the Mets last year.