Jeff McNeil and the surging New York Mets will head west to face the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. SportsNet New York will be televising this NL showdown. The game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
Los Angeles (-160) is the favorite over New York (+150) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at seven runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). This game currently has a runline of Mets +1.5 (-145) and Dodgers -1.5 (+125).
The Mets are 26-26 SU and are 25-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 4.3 units ATS. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 35-18 SU and 25-27 ATS. They’ve gained 9.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.3 units ATS.
Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 27-23-2 so far in 2019. New York has been a decent over bet with a total record of 27-20-4.
Right-hander Jacob deGrom is the projected starter for the visiting Mets. deGrom is 3-5 with a 3.72 ERA and 75 strikeouts. This is his first outing against Los Angeles this year. He made two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 0-1 record with a 3.00 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
The Dodgers are sending lefty Clayton Kershaw (4-0, 3.33 ERA) to the mound. Kershaw has 44 strikeouts and eight walks to his name as well as a 0.98 WHIP. Kershaw only made one start against the Mets in 2018 (0-0, 6.00 ERA and four strikeouts across three innings).
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.52 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.41 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.39, along with a K-per-9 of 9.46.
Mets hitters have slashed .243/.322/.406 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
New York’s offensive production has been sparked by left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario. McNeil is hitting .333/.418/.461 with 55 hits, 15 RBIs and 20 runs scored. Rosario (.247/.291/.392) has produced 48 hits, five homers, 27 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has given up 3.9 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 2.97 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.61 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
The Los Angeles offense has produced 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.8 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .304/.400/.486 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner have led the Dodgers’ hitters this year. Bellinger is slashing .386/.470/.755 with 18 home runs, 48 RBIs, 47 runs and seven steals, while Turner’s line is .304/.396/.444 with six homers, 23 RBIs and 26 runs.
The Mets have lost 2.0 units and are 7-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to five that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Dodgers have netted 10.5 units and are 20-16 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 17 that went under.
Mets vs. Dodgers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in only two of New York’s last seven games.
- The Mets have won six of their last seven games SU while the Dodgers have taken five of their last six.
- Los Angeles has posted 24.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 29.2 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
- The Mets have a team OPS of .728 this season, including an OPS of .760 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS stands at .805 overall and .765 against lefties.
