New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies Free Pick

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The New York Mets are heading west to take on the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. SportsNet New York will televise this NL showdown and the game gets underway at 8:40 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies Odds

Vegas has listed Colorado (+115) as the underdog to New York (-125). The total stands at 10 runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 or the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds sitting at +120 for the Mets -1.5 runs and -140 for the Rockies +1.5.

The Mets are 30-38 SU and have gone 29-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.0 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 34-37 SU and 33-37 ATS. They’ve lost 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.7 units ATS. Colorado has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Rockies games have an over/under record of 33-34-3 so far in 2018. The Mets have been a decent under bet with a total record of 27-37-2.

Jacob deGrom is getting the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed deGrom (4-2, 1.55 ERA) has racked up 113 strikeouts in 87.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Rockies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.13 ERA and 11 strikeouts across eight innings).

The Rockies are sending lefty Tyler Anderson (4-1, 4.48 ERA) to the mound. Anderson has 64 strikeouts and 26 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Anderson did not record a start against the Mets in 2017.

Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 4.73 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.49 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

Colorado’s offense is putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over its last five. The teams hit .269/.326/.463 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Rockies batters have been led by third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon. Arenado is slashing .310/.401/.551 with 13 home runs, 42 RBIs and 45 runs scored, and Blackmon’s line is .278/.358/.485 with 13 homers, 33 RBIs and 53 runs scored.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.80 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.44 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.54, along with a K/9 of 8.96.

The Mets offense has slashed .226/.306/.373 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 2.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

New York’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is slashing .270/.310/.479 with 12 home runs, 37 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Rosario (.237/.266/.356) has produced four homers, 19 RBIs and 25 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 2.7 units and are 9-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 1.2 units and are 20-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 20 that went under the total.

New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in just two of Colorado’s last seven games.
  • The Rockies have dropped three of their last four games SU.
  • Colorado has recorded 25.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.4 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.