The red-hot Chicago Cubs are going for their seventh straight victory as they play host to the New York Mets at Wrigley Field. This NL matchup will get going at 2:20 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will televise the game.
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs Odds
The Cubs are 77-53 straight up (SU) and 66-64 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, gaining 4.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.6 units (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Mets are 58-73 SU and have gone 61-69 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 16.7 units for moneyline bettors and 13.9 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Chicago games have a 57-70-3 over/under record in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 58-66-6.
Jason Vargas will get the nod for New York. The left-handed Vargas is 4-8 with a 6.96 ERA and 55 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Cubs are going with righty Alec Mills (0-0, 1.17 ERA), who has 10 punchouts and one walks, as well as a WHIP of 0.65. Mills did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.
Chicago’s pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 4.00 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.22 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
The Chicago hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .326/.381/.579 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.
The Cubs’ offense has been led by second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo. Baez is hitting .297/.329/.575 with 28 home runs, 97 RBIs, 80 runs and 21 stolen bases, and Rizzo is batting .276 with 22 homers, 86 RBIs and 58 runs.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.88 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.01 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.92, along with a K-per-9 of 8.24.
The Mets offense has slashed .235/.314/.388 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
New York’s offensive production has been powered by shortstop Amed Rosario and second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera. The speedy Rosario is slashing .244/.285/.367 with seven home runs, 42 RBIs, 59 runs and 16 steals, while Cabrera (.277/.329/.488) has produced 18 homers, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 9.4 units and are 46-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 44 of those games, as opposed to 47 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 6.0 units and are 16-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.
New York Mets at Chicago Cubs Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
The under has hit in three of New York’s last seven games.
The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
Chicago has averaged 24.2 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 30.4 over its last five.