New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs Free Preview

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The New York Mets will be facing off against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. This NL showdown will get going at 8:05 p.m. ET and WGN will be televising the game.

New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

The Cubs are 77-53 straight up (SU) and 65-64 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot for gamblers, gaining 3.1 units for moneyline bettors and 0.1 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Mets have gone 58-73 SU this year and are 61-68 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 15.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.3 units ATS.

Chicago games have an over/under record of 56-70-3 in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 57-66-6.

Jacob deGrom will get the nod for the visiting Mets. The right-handed deGrom is 8-8 with a 1.71 ERA and 214 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against Chicago this year.

The Cubs will send lefty Cole Hamels (9-9, 3.82 ERA) to the mound. Hamels has 144 strikeouts and 50 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Hamels has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.00 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.22 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The Chicago hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .326/.381/.579 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo have paced the Cubs’ batters this year. Baez is hitting .297/.329/.575 with 28 home runs, 97 RBIs, 80 runs and 21 steals, and Rizzo’s line is .276/.371/.479 with 22 homers, 86 RBIs and 58 runs.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.88 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.01 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.92, along with a K/9 of 8.24.

The Mets offense has slashed .235/.314/.388 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

New York’s offense has been powered by shortstop Amed Rosario and second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera. The speedy Rosario is slashing .244/.285/.367 with seven home runs, 42 RBIs, 59 runs and 16 steals, while Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 homers, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 6.3 units and are 15-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, as opposed to 19 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 2.9 units and are 49-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 43 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve gone under.

New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in five of Chicago’s last seven games.
  • New York has recorded 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.0 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.