The New York Mets will be facing off against their divisional nemesis Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. SportsNet New York will televise the action and the game gets underway at 7:35 p.m. ET.
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Atlanta (+115) as the underdog to New York (-125). The total is sitting at 8 runs and bettors can take the over for -115 and the under for -105. Runline odds stand at +120 for taking the Mets -1.5 runs and -140 for the Braves +1.5 runs.
The Braves are 32-22 SU and 30-22 ATS. They’ve gained 13.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.7 units against the spread (ATS). The Mets are 26-26 SU and have gone 24-26 ATS. In total, the teams lost 3.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.0 units ATS.
Braves games have a 24-25-3 over/under record so far in 2018. The Mets have an over/under record of 22-27-1.
The southpaw Jason Vargas will get the start for the visiting Mets. Vargas is 1-3 with a 10.62 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and an 11.57 ERA against Atlanta this year.
The Braves will put the ball in the right hand of Julio Teheran (4-2, 4.20 ERA), who’s got 51 strikeouts and 27 walks this season as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Teheran is 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA across two starts against New York this year.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.16 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.74 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.33, along with a K-per-9 of 8.98.
Mets hitters have slashed .243/.321/.394 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).
New York’s hitters have been powered by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is slashing .315/.353/.550 with 10 home runs, 34 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .259 with three homers, 18 RBIs and 20 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.61 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.67 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 34 games against NL East foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.25 and the bullpens ERA is 2.92.
The Atlanta offense is putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .294/.375/.497 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led the Braves’ batters this year. Markakis is slashing .338/.402/.509 with seven home runs, 38 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Freeman’s line is .332/.433/.537 with nine homers, 40 RBIs, 35 runs and five steals.
Freeman didn’t do particularly well against left-handed pitchers at home last season, slashing .222/.275/.397 over 69 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .307/.403/.586).
The Mets have lost 1.9 units and are 16-20 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in four of Atlanta’s last seven games.
- The Braves have won three of their last four games SU.
- New York has posted 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 27.6 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
