New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

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The New York Mets will play the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. SportsNet New York will televise this interleague matchup and the game gets underway at 7:07 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Toronto (-180) is hosting this one as the favorite against New York (+170) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds standing at Mets +1.5 runs (-130) and Blue Jays -1.5 runs (+110).

The Mets have gone just 33-49 SU this year and are 33-47 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.1 units for moneyline bettors and 19.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in three of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 40-45 SU and 39-45 ATS. The teams lost 6.1 units for moneyline bettors and 10.4 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Blue Jays games have a 39-37-8 over/under record so far in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 34-42-4.

Corey Oswalt is the probable starter for the visiting Mets. Oswalt is 0-1 with a 9.82 ERA and five strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Blue Jays are handing the ball to righty Marcus Stroman (1-5, 6.02 ERA), who has 41 strikeouts and 19 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.52 WHIP. Stroman did not record a start against the Mets in 2017.

Toronto’s pitchers have yielded 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The clubs starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.88, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

Toronto’s offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The teams hit .214/.305/.364 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Yangervis Solarte and right fielder Kevin Pillar have paced the Blue Jays offense this year. Solarte is hitting .250/.308/.451 with 16 home runs, 48 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Pillar’s line sits at .245/.277/.401 with seven homers, 29 RBIs, 38 runs and 10 stolen bases.

For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.99 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.34 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.90, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K-per-9 of 8.68.

Mets hitters have slashed .231/.313/.385 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have paced New York’s offense. Cabrera is slashing .281/.330/.489 with 15 home runs, 47 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .241/.285/.356 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 12.4 units and are 22-35 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The overs hit in 24 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.

New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in three of Toronto’s last seven games.
  • New York fielders have committed five errors over their last five games, compared to two errors for Toronto over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.