The New York Mets will be squaring off against the Milwaukee Brewers in a Saturday night game. SportsNet New York will be airing this NL matchup and the action gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-110) is hosting this one as the favorite over New York (+100) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). The game’s current runline odds stand at -210 for picking the Mets +1.5 runs and +175 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Mets have gone 16-16 SU this year and are 16-15 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline over the early portions of the year, despite having gained 0.0 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 18-16 SU and 15-18 ATS. They’ve gained 0.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 4.4 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 14-18-1 so far in 2019. The Mets have been a decent over bet with a total record of 19-10-2.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler is getting the start for New York. Wheeler (2-2, 5.05 ERA) has racked up 37 punchouts in 35.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 6.00 ERA and six strikeouts over six innings).
The Brewers will put the ball in the left hand of Gio Gonzalez (0-0, 3.60 ERA), who has two strikeouts and one walks as well as a 1.40 WHIP. Gonzalez is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against New York this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.38, a WHIP of 1.55 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 4.78 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .256/.318/.427 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .353/.460/.804 with 14 home runs, 34 RBIs, 26 runs and six stolen bases, and Cain’s line is .269/.327/.425 with four homers, 12 RBIs and 24 runs.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.60 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.42, along with a K/9 of 9.72.
Mets hitters have slashed .252/.336/.405 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
New York’s offensive production has been fueled by outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso. McNeil is hitting .348/.430/.473 with 39 hits, 12 RBIs and 15 runs scored. Alonso (.289/.379/.614) has produced 33 hits, nine homers, 26 RBIs and 20 runs scored.
The Mets have gained 1.1 units and are 4-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to one that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 0.8 units and are 9-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 10 of those games, as opposed to 13 that’ve cashed the under.
Mets vs. Brewers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- New York has logged 11 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Milwaukee has 14 XBH over its last five.
- The Mets have an OPS of .740 this season and an OPS of .840 against left-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .779 overall and .811 against lefties.
- Milwaukee has recorded 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.2 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 14 over their last 10.
