Jeff McNeil and the New York Mets will square off against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park in a Sunday day game. SportsNet New York will televise this NL showdown. The game is slated to get underway at 2:10 p.m. ET.
New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Las Vegas has New York (+130) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-140). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to finish below 9 runs, then Vegas is putting up +105 odds to play the under. Playing the over will give you -125 odds. This game currently has a runline of Mets +1.5 (-170) and Brewers -1.5 (+150).
The Brewers are 19-16 straight up (SU) and 16-18 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 1.8 units for moneyline bettors while earning 2.8 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Mets have gone 16-17 SU this year and are 16-16 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 4.0 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the year and 1.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 14-19-1 so far in 2019. The Mets have been a decent over bet with a total record of 19-11-2.
Southpaw Jason Vargas is projected to start for the visiting Mets. Vargas (1-1, 5.75 ERA) has racked up 15 strikeouts in 20.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 15.00 ERA and five strikeouts over three innings).
The Brewers are sending righty Zach Davies (3-0, 1.38 ERA) to the mound. Davies has 21 strikeouts and 13 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.32. Davies made two starts against the Mets in 2018, putting together a 0-2 record with a 9.72 ERA.
New York’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.52 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.69 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.11, along with a WHIP of 1.34.
The Mets offense has slashed .247/.328/.396 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 2.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
New York’s hitters have been paced by left fielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso. McNeil is hitting .350/.426/.467 with 42 hits, 13 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Alonso (.289/.374/.620) is up to 35 hits, 10 homers, 27 RBIs and 21 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 5.26 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.49 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .232/.304/.356 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have led the Brewers’ hitters this year. Cain is slashing .261/.316/.408 with four home runs, 13 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Yelich’s line is .350/.456/.796 with 14 homers, 34 RBIs, 26 runs and six steals.
The Mets have lost 5.2 units and are 12-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 2.6 units and are 7-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in four of those games, as opposed to six that’ve gone under.
Mets at Brewers Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in just two of New York’s last seven games.
- The Mets have lost three of their last four games SU.
- The New York defense has permitted 13 errors over the last 10 games, compared to only six errors for Milwaukee over its last 10.
- The Mets have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
- The Mets have an OPS of .724 this season and an OPS of .707 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .764 overall and .746 versus righties.
