The New York Mets are ready to take on their division rival Miami Marlins in a Saturday matinee. SportsNet New York is in line to televise the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 4:10 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (receiving +130 odds) is stepping into this one as an underdog to New York and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). The game’s current runline odds sit at +105 for betting the Mets -1.5 runs and -125 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Mets have gone 20-23 SU this year and are 22-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.5 units for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the season and 0.1 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 11-31 SU and 15-26 ATS. The team has lost 14.7 units for moneyline bettors and 17.3 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Miami games have an over/under record of 17-23-1 thus far in 2019. New York has an over/under record of 22-17-3.
Southpaw Steven Matz will get the start for the visiting Mets. Matz (3-2, 3.86 ERA) has racked up 32 strikeouts in 35 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 1.69 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins are sending righty Pablo Lopez (2-5, 5.93 ERA) to the mound. Lopez has 42 strikeouts and 11 walks to his name, along with a WHIP of 1.29. Lopez is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 30.00 ERA in one start against New York this year.
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.38 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.43 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 22 games against divisional foes, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.94 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.45.
The Miami offense has put up 2.7 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .231/.270/.302 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .228/.274/.296 with three home runs, 12 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Anderson’s line sits at .231/.313/.314 with 36 hits, 11 RBIs and seven runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.70 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.53, along with a WHIP of 1.32 and a K-per-9 of 9.48.
Mets hitters have slashed .250/.330/.406 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Outfielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario have led New York’s offense. McNeil is slashing .351/.439/.480 with 52 hits, 14 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .272/.315/.405 with 43 hits, 24 RBIs and 13 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 4.6 units and are 16-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 3.6 units and are 4-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to three that went under the total.
Mets vs. Marlins MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in three of New York’s last seven contests.
- The Mets have a total OPS of .735 this season and an OPS of .735 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .593 overall and .588 against righties.
- New York has posted 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
