Jeff McNeil and the slumping New York Mets are preparing to do battle against their divisional rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park in a Tuesday night game. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York is in line to broadcast the matchup.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Bookmakers have Atlanta (+110) as the underdog to New York (-120). You can play game’s total with current odds posted at -125 for over 9 runs and +105 for under 9. There’s a runline of Mets -1.5 (+125) and Braves +1.5 (-145) for this matchup.
The Mets have gone 34-38 SU this year and are 34-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 6.5 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 43-30 SU and 35-37 ATS. They’ve gained 7.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.7 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in all seven of them.
Braves games have a 41-26-5 over/under record so far in 2019. New York has also been a good over bet with a total record of 38-27-6.
The right-handed Jacob deGrom will get the nod for New York. deGrom is 3-6 with a 3.38 ERA and 102 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Atlanta this year.
The Braves are sending righty Julio Teheran (5-4, 2.92 ERA) to the mound. Teheran has 76 strikeouts and 40 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.19. Teheran is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against New York this year.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.26 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.20 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.47, along with a WHIP of 1.28.
The Mets offense has slashed .250/.325/.422 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
New York’s offensive production has been fueled by left fielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso. McNeil is hitting .327/.397/.449 with three home runs, 20 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Alonso (.263/.346/.598) is up to 23 homers, 54 RBIs and 43 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 4.31 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.07 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 22 games against divisional opponents, Braves starters have an ERA of 4.50 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.64.
Atlanta’s offense is putting up 5.5 runs per outing, including 5.8 per game against divisional foes and 9.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .358/.431/.615 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr. have paced the Braves’ batters this year. Freeman is hitting .313/.404/.592 with 19 home runs, 52 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Acuna Jr.’s line is .301/.380/.519 with 17 homers, 49 RBIs, 50 runs and nine stolen bases.
The Mets have lost 8.9 units and are 25-30 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 2.5 units and are 27-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 29 of those games, as opposed to 23 which went under the total.
Mets at Braves MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in seven of Atlanta’s last seven games.
- The Mets have lost four of their last five games SU while the Braves have won 10 of their last 11.
- Atlanta has posted 31.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 36.2 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 23 over their last 10.
- The Mets have a total OPS of .747 this season and an OPS of .727 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .807 overall and .798 against righties.