New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Free Pick

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The Atlanta Braves are set to host their division rival New York Mets at SunTrust Park. The matchup will be nationally televised on ESPN. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Atlanta (+140) is rolling into this contest as an underdog against New York (-150) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). The game’s current runline odds sit at -105 for taking the Mets -1.5 runs and -115 for the Braves +1.5 runs.

The Braves are 8-6 straight up (SU) and 6-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.4 units ATS. On the other hand, the Mets have gone 9-5 SU this year and are 9-4 against the spread. In total, the team’s gained 3.6 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 4.7 units ATS.

Braves games have a 5-6-2 over/under record so far in 2019. New York has been a decent over bet with a total record of 9-3-1.

Jacob deGrom (2-1, 3.18 ERA) will get the start for New York. The right-handed deGrom recorded 269 strikeouts across 217 innings last year with only 46 walks while finishing the season 10-9 overall with a 1.70 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP. He made six starts against the Braves in 2018 and compiled a 1-2 record against them with a 0.88 ERA and 50 strikeouts.

The Braves are going with righty Julio Teheran (1-1, 6.00 ERA) as their starter. Teheran recorded 162 strikeouts over 175 innings last year (31 starts), while finishing the season 9-9 overall with a 3.94 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. He recorded five starts against New York a year ago and put up a 1-2 record with a 1.65 ERA and 26 strikeouts.

Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.54, a WHIP of 1.41 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.53 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In nine games against divisional foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 5.82 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.19.

The Atlanta offense has put up 5.4 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .286/.359/.480 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Freddie Freeman has helped lead the Braves’ offense this season with 19 hits, seven RBIs and 14 runs scored.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 5.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.66 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 10.43 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.18, along with a WHIP of 1.25.

The Mets offense has slashed .266/.358/.443 on its way to 6.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Pete Alonso has led New York’s offense so far and is slashing .360/.439/.860 with six home runs, 17 RBIs and 11 runs scored.

The Braves are looking for another victory following an 11-7 win in the prior game of this series.

Mets at Braves MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in just one of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • The Mets have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 13 over their last 10.
  • The Mets have an OPS of .801 this season and an OPS of .783 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .813 overall and .779 against righties.
  • Atlanta has recorded 23.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.2 over its last five.