The ice-cold Arizona Diamondbacks will try to avoid their fifth straight loss as they play host to the New York Mets at Chase Field. SportsNet New York will be showing this NL matchup and the game gets going at 9:40 p.m. ET.
New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
The Mets have gone 27-29 SU this year and are 27-28 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.5 units for moneyline bettors and 4.7 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 28-29 SU and 33-23 ATS. They’ve gained 1.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.0 units ATS. Arizona has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 27-27-2 thus far in 2019. New York has been a decent over bet with a total record of 30-21-4.
Zack Wheeler will get the nod for the Mets. The right-handed Wheeler (4-3, 4.63 ERA) has racked up 78 punchouts in 70 innings so far. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 3.00 ERA and eight strikeouts over six innings).
The Diamondbacks will put the ball in the right hand of Jon Duplantier (1-0, 2.25 ERA, 1.08 WHIP), who’s got 12 strikeouts and five walks this season. Duplantier did not record any MLB appearances in 2018.
Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.10 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
The Arizona hitters have produced 5.2 runs per outing, including 5.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .293/.342/.479 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Diamondbacks’ offense has been led by Eduardo Escobar and Ketel Marte. Escobar is hitting .286/.347/.558 with 14 home runs, 45 RBIs and 36 runs scored, and Marte is hitting .279 with 12 homers, 38 RBIs and 33 runs scored.
For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.40 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.23 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.88, along with a WHIP of 1.33.
The Mets offense has slashed .246/.324/.417 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario continue to lead New York’s hitters. McNeil is slashing .333/.418/.461 with 55 hits, 15 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Rosario (.257/.304/.424) has produced 54 hits, six homers, 29 RBIs, 21 runs and five stolen bases.
The Mets have lost 6.3 units and are 19-23 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 0.1 units and are 22-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 21 which went under the total.
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in three of Arizona’s last seven games.
- The Mets have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 15 over their last 10.
- The Mets have an OPS of .742 this season and an OPS of .729 against right-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS sits at .784 overall and .737 versus righties.
- Arizona has posted 26.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.0 over its last five.
- The Mets have lost three of their last four games SU.
