New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Preview

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The Arizona Diamondbacks will play host to the New York Mets at Chase Field. This NL showdown will get going at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsNet New York to catch the game.

New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

New York (+100) is coming into this one as the underdog to Arizona (-110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Mets +1.5 runs (-210) and Diamondbacks -1.5 runs (+175).

The Diamondbacks are 29-30 straight up (SU) and 35-23 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 0.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 8.9 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. On the other hand, the Mets are 28-30 SU and have gone 27-30 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 7.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.7 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have a 28-27-3 over/under record so far in 2019. The Mets have been a decent over bet with a total record of 30-22-5.

Steven Matz will get the start for the Mets. The left-handed Matz is 4-3 with a 3.55 ERA and 51 strikeouts. He has yet to face Arizona this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 1-0 record with a 4.22 ERA and five strikeouts.

The Diamondbacks are turning to righty Merrill Kelly (4-6, 4.83 ERA), who has 45 punchouts and 23 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.51. Kelly did not record any MLB appearances last season.

As a unit, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.18, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 4.31 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Arizona offense is putting up 5.2 runs per outing, including 6.5 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .296/.345/.511 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Diamondbacks’ batters have been led by Eduardo Escobar and Ketel Marte. Escobar is slashing .284/.342/.556 with 14 home runs, 46 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Marte is batting .277 with 13 homers, 40 RBIs and 35 runs.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.35 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.29 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.96, along with a K-per-9 of 9.24.

The Mets offense has slashed .248/.325/.418 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

First baseman Pete Alonso and left fielder Jeff McNeil have paced New York’s hitters. Alonso is slashing .268/.340/.617 with 19 home runs, 44 RBIs and 34 runs scored, while McNeil is hitting .333/.418/.461 with two homers, 15 RBIs and 20 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 5.3 units and are 19-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 23 of those games, as opposed to 16 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 0.2 units and are 12-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 14 of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under.

Mets at Diamondbacks Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in three of New York’s last seven outings.
  • The Mets have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 16 over their last 10.
  • The Mets have an OPS of .742 this season and an OPS of .731 against right-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS stands at .783 overall and .739 versus righties.
  • New York has posted 24.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.